Xi ‘not interrupting’ plans with Taiwan, ‘in fact accelerating’ and learning from Russia’s mistakes

On Monday’s CNN “Early Start” show, the author, Washington Post CNN columnist and political analyst Josh Rogin said China is not halting its plans to invade Taiwan, and that Xi is “in fact accelerating his plans” and learning from the mistakes Russia has made and will make a better job of invading Taiwan than Russia did.

Rogin said: “Vladimir Putin denied having any intention to attack Ukraine until he attacked Ukraine. And we are seeing a very similar scenario in China, where the leader is preaching to his people historical grievances with the West and uses them to threaten its democratic neighbor, Taiwan.

He continued: “And the worst thing for the Taiwanese is that Vladimir Putin had to come first. So he made a lot of mistakes. And Xi Jinping learns from these mistakes. And according to US officials I’ve spoken to, Xi Jinping…if he invades Taiwan, he’ll be much better at it. In other words, he’s going to go faster and he’s going to be even more brutal and more devastating and he’s going to make sure he gets that capital before they have a chance to rally the international community to defend them and he will know what our economic playbook is and he will wage the information war better than Putin did. And what that should tell us, in the opinion of many US officials I’ve spoken to, is that we should probably learn from the war in Ukraine as well when thinking about how to defend Taiwan. We should give them the things they will need to fight a Ukrainian-style insurgency, a Ukrainian-style resistance against an invasion. The problem, of course, is that all of this stuff is currently being dumped in Ukraine, making it very difficult for the Taiwanese to really get their hands on it.

Rogin added that the sanctions that have been implemented against Russia have made Xi “think about how to isolate China from [those types] penalties, and that is what it is doing. It does not stop. He is actually accelerating his plans. What we are seeing now is that the head of the Chinese government is meeting with all the international banks to make sure that they know that if China attacks Taiwan, they will not accept these kinds of sanctions. And it will be much more difficult, the Chinese economy is much bigger than the Russian economy. It is more closely tied to our economy than is Russia. It will be much more difficult to impose sanctions on China than on Russia. So, no, I don’t think it makes him think. I think it actually speeds up his plans.

Follow Ian Hanchett on Twitter @IanHanchett


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