Will crime cost New York Democrats?

Republican New York gubernatorial candidate Lee Zeldin has appeared to narrow the gap with Democratic incumbent Kathy Hochul in some recent polls as crime remains a major issue for voters in the state.

In a recent poll conducted by Quinnipiac University, 28% of New York voters ranked crime as their top concern. Inflation (20%) and “protection of democracy” (14%) follow behind crime, according to the poll.

Additionally, this poll found that Hochul led Zeldin by just 4 percentage points (50-46%), but Zeldin had a slight advantage over Hochul among suburban voters (50-49%) and northern voters. State (52 to 44%). Another separate poll conducted by the Sienna College Research Institute found that Hochul’s lead over Zeldin has shrunk over the past month. The most recent poll found Hochul leading by 11 points, down from the 17-point lead recorded by the poll last month.

The results of these polls come as Zeldin has continued to campaign as a tough on crime candidate. Earlier this month, a shooting occurred outside Zeldin’s home while his two daughters were inside. “After my daughters heard the gunshots and screams, they ran upstairs, locked themselves in the bathroom, and immediately called 911. They acted very quickly and smartly every step of the way, and Diana and I are extremely proud of them,” he said. in a report.

New York gubernatorial candidate Lee Zeldin attends the Columbus Day Parade through midtown Manhattan on October 10 in New York City. Recent polls show Zeldin trailing Democratic incumbent Kathy Hochul by a narrow margin.
Gotham/GC Images/Getty Images

During a recent interview with Politico, Zeldin said, “Whether I’m in a blue county or a red county or talking to Republicans, Democrats or Independents, I hear about people who care about crime. and public safety… They want to take back our streets.”

The New York Police Department (NYPD) recently released crime statistics for the city in September. The Crime Report found overall index crime in the city rose 15.2% in September compared to the same month in 2021.

“Five of the top seven index offense categories saw increases, led by a 22.7% increase in burglaries (1,409 vs. 1,148), a 21.5% increase in auto thefts (1,215 vs. 000) and a 21.3% increase in burglary theft (4,552 v. 3,753),” the crime report said.

Lindsey Cormack, associate professor of political science at Stevens Institute of Technology, said Newsweek that Zeldin’s shrinkage in the polls “is like what we see in the shrinkage across national generic partisan polls with Republicans moving up as the midterms approach.”

“The issue of targeted crime near the Zeldin residence may have given him a boost, and the narrative around crime rates and a set of more high-profile and gruesome crime indications likely give the challenger, Zeldin, a way to argue that current approaches are inadequate and gives him a way to defend his approach as a necessary change,” Cormack said. Newsweek.

Newsweek reached out to the Zeldin and Hochul campaigns for comment.


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