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Where does JJ Redick rank among the NBA’s all-time best shooters?

Where does JJ Redick rank among the greatest shooters of all time in the NBA?

That’s a question I asked myself after the sniper announced his retirement on Tuesday after a 15-year career that included stints with the Orlando Magic, Milwaukee Bucks, LA Clippers, Philadelphia 76ers, New Orleans Pelicans and the Dallas Mavericks.

Drafted 11th overall by the Magic in 2006 after a remarkable four-year career at Duke where he was National Player of the Year, two-time All-American, two-time ACC Player of the Year and four-time All-ACC Selection , Redick went on to become one of the most productive 3-pointers in NBA history.

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After an uneven start to his career that left many wondering if Redick’s shooting ability could make up for some shortcomings in ball handling and defense in the NBA, Redick finally found his rhythm in his eighth season after going. joined the LA Clippers. Redick’s ultra-competitive swagger fits right in alongside Chris Paul and his floor-stretching magic opened Lob City for Blake Griffin and DeAndre Jordan.

Redick’s career has coincided with the league’s rapid transformation, a change that has allowed Redick to thrive in a new era of pace and space. In the end, he rode that wave in the record books to the point where it’s legitimate to wonder where he ranks among the all-time snipers.

JJ Redick’s filming in figures

Let’s start with the basics.

He ranks 15th all-time, just below Dirk Nowitti, LeBron James and Joe Johnson and just ahead of JR Smith, Chauncey Billups, Kobe Bryant and Kyle Lowry. Browse the list of names above him and you’ll almost exclusively see a bunch of high volume first or second options, which Redick has never even been up to.

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Redick also ranks 17th in 3-point field goal percentage, finishing with a career clip of 41.5%, including an outrageous 47.5% in 2015-16 when he was in charge of the NBA. Considering both volume and efficiency, he is one of four players to make the top 20 in terms of brands and percentage, joining Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson and Kyle Korver.

Top 20 brands and 3-point PCT
Made FG 3 points 3 points PCT
Stephen curry 2nd 7th
Kyle korver 4th 10th
JJ Redick 15th 17th
Klay thompson 20th 14th

But Redick’s shooting prowess goes far beyond just spotting around the corner or burying catch-and-shoot 3s against too strong a defense.

He hit them by twisting around the screens back and forth. He hit them after stopping on a dime during a dead sprint in transition. He hit them while catching a dead sprint and never stopped except to squared and throw while falling out of bounds. He hit them against towering defenders after dribbling transfers.

On his day of absolute shooting hay, Redick made shots that defied logic… both inside AND outside the 3-point line. As an ode to Kobe Bryant after his retirement after the 2015-16 season, I scoured millions of player tracking data points in search of the new Kobe. I wanted to answer a seemingly simple question: Who was the best player in the NBA at taking tough shots? Not just out of reputation, but backed by data that takes into account whether a shooter is stationary or on the move, where their momentum takes them, the time on the shot clock and the location of the closest defenders .

Who won? Redick. Not Kevin Durant, Kyrie Irving, Stephen Curry, James Harden, DeMar DeRozan, Joe Johnson, Klay Thompson, or any of the other All-Stars usually get into those type of conversations.

How JJ Redick compares to other greats

So taking all of that into account, where does that leave Redick?

He’s comfortably behind the big four: Curry, Thompson, Ray Allen and Reggie Miller. I’m not sure anyone can dispute this.

And while Redick is undoubtedly a brilliant shooter who has made huge strides as an off-rebound shooter, he still relies heavily on others, which makes him hard to beat players like Kevin Durant, Steve Nash, Larry Bird. , Dirk Nowitti and Peja Stojakovic.

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Accurately mixing volume efficiently when talking to shooters is like mixing oil and water. How to compare someone like Steve Kerr – the most accurate sniper ever who feasted on a steady diet of still catches and shots from Michael Jordan and Tim Duncan – to someone like Damian Lillard or James Harden, who sacrifices efficiency while taking them in clusters often draped with multiple defenders.

That leaves Redick somewhere in a group that includes Korver, Dale Ellis, Glen Rice, JR Smith, and Kerr. The Advanced Shooting Divisions adjusted to the Basketball-Reference League are a way to balance volume with efficiency that also teases shot selection in the context of the era in which they played. Essentially, you can see how much a player’s shooting total is added or subtracted from what an average player in the league would do on those same overall attempts, including free throws. Getting to the line and converting is a valuable part of considering the whole shooter.

TS added
Points added compared to the NBA average Career games
JJ Redick 1,109 940
Dale ellis 1,052 1,209
Damien lillard 952 682
Glen Rice 751 1000
Steve kerr 566 910
JR Smith -102 977

It’s not perfect and it doesn’t take into account more granular details like player tracking data. But it’s a smarter way to contextualize the overall performance of a skill that’s completely transformed over time to the point that it’s nearly impossible to compare shooters across eras.

Either way, the point here is not to be hardcore.

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The goal is to give Redick his due as one of the greatest NBA shooters of all time. There is no skill more sought after than shooting, and Redick is one of the best to ever do, an extraordinary leader who has in some ways symbolized the sport’s broader change over the course of the last decade.





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