Walker’s odds of beating Warnock with 100 days to go: polls

Republican Senate candidate Herschel Walker is aiming to defeat Democratic Senator from Georgia Raphael Warnock and regain a seat the GOP narrowly lost in the January 2021 runoff, but 100 days from the midterm elections in November. the former soccer star appears to be following the outgoing Liberal.

Walker has been endorsed by former President Donald Trump and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, in a race that could also determine which party controls the Senate. Meanwhile, Walker hopes to keep the Democrats’ momentum going in Georgia.

In 2020, President Joe Biden became the first Democratic presidential candidate to win in the state since 1992. Meanwhile, Warnock and fellow Senator Jon Ossoff successfully flipped the two Georgian Senate seats for Democrats in close elections.

Polls show Republican Senate candidate Herschel Walker in an uphill battle against incumbent Democratic Senator Raphael Warnock. Top left, Warnock speaks during a Senate committee hearing on Capitol Hill March 3 in Washington, DC Top right, Walker is seen July 10 in Hampton, Georgia.
Tom Williams/James Gilbert/Getty Images

While polls had previously shown Walker and Warnock in a neck and neck contest, a recent scandal involving Walker’s number of children appears to have affected the former football star’s standing with voters. The incumbent Democrat has taken the lead with a lead over his GOP rival, but the race is still tight.

The current Real Clear Politics Georgia poll average shows Warnock ahead by around 4.4 points. On average, the incumbent Democrat has the support of 47.6% of Georgians and Walker is backed by 43.2%.

A poll conducted by Fox News from July 22-26 dropped Walker by 4 points. The Trump-backed candidate had the support of only 42% of registered voters, compared to 46% who backed Warnock. The survey included 901 registered voters with a margin of error of plus or minus 3 points.

A poll conducted by WXIA-TV/SurveyUSA from July 21-24 showed the incumbent Democrat with a bigger lead of 9 points. Warnock received support from 48% of respondents and Walker was only supported by 39%. The poll included 604 likely voters with a margin of error of plus or minus 5.3 points.

Before that, a Atlanta Journal-Constitution survey conducted July 14-22 showed Warnock ahead by 3 points. The poll had the Democratic senator at 46% and the Republican challenger at 43%. Just over 900 likely voters were surveyed and the margin of error was plus or minus 3.3%.

If Walker manages to pull off a victory, it could return Senate control to Republican control. The legislative chamber is currently split evenly, but Democrats are maintaining the slimmest majority possible, with Vice President Kamala Harris able to cast deciding votes. If the Democrats lose even one seat without winning another held by the GOP, the Republicans will again regain the majority.


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