Trump leads DeSantis by 8 in hypothetical head-to-head

Former President Donald Trump holds a nearly double-digit lead over Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL) in a hypothetical 2024 head-to-head Republican primary contest, according to a Yahoo/YouGov poll.

Among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents sampled, 47% support Trump in a race against DeSantis, who garners 39% support. Another eleven percent of voters are undecided in the hypothetical scenario, and two percent would not vote. The figures for politicians are unchanged from a Yahoo/YouGov poll from February.

This current poll also showed the candidates standing among a wider primary field, finding Trump holding a double-digit lead as the frontrunner with 44% support. DeSantis sits at 28%, and his 16-point deficit hasn’t changed since last month, when he came in at 29%, and Trump at 45%.

Former Governor Nikki Haley (R-SC), who announced her candidacy in February, has 5% support in third place. Four percent of respondents support former Vice President Mike Pence, while Gov. Glen Youngkin (R-VA) and former Rep. Liz Cheney (R-WY) are at two percent apiece. Former governors Chris Christie (R-NJ) and Larry Hogan (R-MD) have one percent support each.

In a race only among the top four voters, Trump climbs to 47%, while DeSantis gains four points, reaching 32%. Six percent support Haley in this scenario and five percent choose Pence.

The poll also gauged potential general election showdowns between the two leading voters and President Joe Biden in an overall race among 1,059 registered voters. Biden holds a slim two-point lead over Trump at 45% to 43%, with 7% undecided. As this is within the 2.7% margin of error, the race is a statistical tie.

DeSantis and Biden are tied at 43% each, with 10% undecided and 5% refusing to vote.

The poll was conducted March 16-20, meaning part of it was completed after Trump announced he expected to be arrested, based on ‘illegal leaks’ from the office of the Manhattan District Attorney. The first part of the GOP poll sampled 459 Republicans and Registered Apprentices. The margin of error for the survey as a whole is plus or minus 2.7 percentage points.


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