It should be noted that Trump rejected the idea of a third party, which is actually a good push. Republicans can’t win with a fractured party, or win if it gets smaller. I don’t understand the quest of some Republicans to downsize the party. The GOP has just lost the White House by nearly 7 million votes and has not won the nationwide popular vote in a presidential election with anyone other than a Bush since 1984. Republicans have lost the vote. White House and do not control any chamber of Congress in Washington, despite the relative balance in Congress.
Still, there was Senator Ted Cruz at CPAC days before Trump, trying to excommunicate the people he ridiculed
as “country club Republicans” – Republicans who I guess Cruz finds distasteful for their relentless golf and love of private dining. Doesn’t he know that Trump currently lives in a country club and owns several?
Rep. Jim Jordan with these statements, who the other day said that the Republican Party no longer tolerates people who drink wine and eat cheese and only accepts those who wear jeans and drink beer. How much wine and cheese do you think the good people of Mar-a-Lago consume on a daily basis?
The real question is: why can’t the GOP have it all? What good is it for the smaller of the two parts to shrink more? Does Cruz consider that Ritz Carlton lovers are inside or outside? Because he just stayed in one in Mexico the other day.
In practice, the GOP is currently able to win majorities midway through 2022 due to geographic, jurisdictional, and redistribution advantages – as well as the strong possibility that President Joe Biden will be much more liberal than expected.
But there is no evidence that the GOP can win the 2024 presidential campaign unless it adheres to a more elastic brand, which welcomes country clubbers, white and blue collar workers, young and old, white and not white. We need the insurance agent and the pipefitter. The retired Rotarian and the young welder. The grandmother voting in her 12th election and her granddaughter voting in her first.
We need all of them.
But who can lead the party to this broad coalition? There is direct empirical evidence that putting Trump at the center of our party in 2024 is a likely loser, as Trump twice got a lower percentage of the vote than Mitt Romney. And that was before the failed insurgency where Trump violated his oath of office to preserve, protect and defend the Constitution.
Some Republicans (especially those most loyal to Trump) make the mistake of believing that politics is a game of subtraction when it is really a game of addition. It is entirely possible to build a rational center-right political platform that attracts a broad coalition including Trump supporters. Democrats, led by Biden, are already making it easy for the GOP to unite against what they see as a far-left agenda. The follow-up task is to come up with a competing governance alternative based on something other than grievances and conspiracy theories.
Trump actually operated on a political platform in 2016 – immigration, trade, swamp emptying. He ran virtually nothing in 2020 and left the Republican Party in search of an identity beyond blind loyalty to him. Where do we go from here? It’s going to take a while to sort it out, but running around with nothing but ‘more Trump’ and downing the party for the sin of joining a club like Trump’s is unlikely to put a Republican back in the White House. .