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Trading gold and silver right now


Gold is actually very easy to trade at the moment because it is driven by the history of US yields. Expectations that the Fed will have to raise interest rates faster are pushing up real yields. Remember that falling real yields are good for gold and rising real yields are bad for gold prices. However, it is necessary to look at actual returns in association with the USD.

What you want to see, in order to get a feel for the direction of gold, are not only actual yields and the USD moving together, but also good reasons for this to continue. When these other two markets line up, it makes the direction of gold much more predictable.

Here is the best case scenario for a further rise in gold through the end of the year and 2022.

  • The Fed strongly opposed early tapering. This is unlikely to happen, but it would suppress returns AND weaken the USD.
  • Inflation continues to rise sharply. This, in conjunction with point 1, would push real returns down. So if inflation is rising faster than bond yields, it can actually lower real yields.
  • Expect high season end-of-year demand for gold purchases around the Chinese Lunar New Year. Check Out How Strong This Seasonal Pattern Is Here, courtesy of Seasonax.
Trading gold and silver right now
  • If the ECB suddenly becomes aggressive (very unlikely) upon exiting QE and heads for rate hikes, it weakens the USD while the EURUSD gains.


If you want to follow this yourself and use the trading view, here is the symbol information.

  • The name of the real return symbol on the trading view is WHEN: USTREASURY / REALYIELD
  • The dollar index chart is the DXY

The problem you will find is that the actual returns are only updated daily. So if you want to get a feel for the real intraday returns, you can use this bond ETF symbol TIPS: AMEX: TIP. It is updated during the UK afternoon after the US opens and is a good indicator of actual returns.

Ok folks, this is the key to getting a fistful of gold. If the stars align, just use key technology to manage and define that risk. Some of the most important levels are shown below:

Trading gold and silver right now

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