WASHINGTON – When former Sen. David Perdue, R-Ga., Announced this week that he would be forwarding a Senate return candidacy in 2022, he went out of his way to suggest that Georgia “is not a state blue”.
Aside from the fact that the Peach State just elected two Democrats to the Senate and picked a Democratic presidential candidate for the first time since 1992, Republicans would be foolish to ignore the dramatic changes that have taken place in the suburb of Atlanta since the beginning of the Obama era. .
In fact, according to a new NBC News analysis of presidential results in every county in the United States, three Georgia counties in suburban Atlanta – Gwinnett, Henry, and Rockdale – increased their share of Democratic votes between 2008 and 2020 by more than any other county in the country.
- In Gwinnett, Barack Obama won 44.5% of the vote in 2008, while Biden won 58.4% in 2020.
- In Henry, Obama won 45.9% in 2008, while Biden won 59.7% in 2020.
- And in Rockdale, Obama won 54.4% in 2008, while Biden won 69.9% in 2020.
Additionally, seven of the eight counties that saw the largest increase in Democratic vote share nationwide are right in Georgia. And all of Georgia’s top 10 most populous counties saw their share of Democratic votes increase from 2008 to 2020.
Over the past year, there has been a lot of talk about how suburban voters rejected Trump. These suburban Georgia counties tell this story – the lion’s share of Democratic gains over time came with Trump on the ballot – and they also serve as a reminder that the Republicans’ suburban issue isn’t just about white voters with it. a university degree that turns the nose. to Trump and Trumpism.
Diversity is a big part of the story in these three countries. Across Gwinnett, Henry, and Rockdale, non-white residents outnumber those who are only white. And the percentage of the population with a college degree at Henry and Rockdale is actually slightly lower than the state average.
What these counties have in common with the wholesale suburban areas: They are growing rapidly.
And the same county-by-county analysis we did showed that the places where Republicans gained the most ground between 2008 and 2020 have in common the opposite trend: they stagnate or shrink.
Why fighting the last battle again might not be useful for the GOP
While the New York Times reports that Perdue’s decision not to run came after a meeting with Trump (who vowed revenge on GOP Governor Brian Kemp), these three Georgia counties point out that starting the race over again. 2020 might not help the GOP in 2022..
Especially in a state like Georgia, which will be competing for governor and Senate midterm next year.
Earlier this month, Senator Lindsey Graham, RS.C., said Trump was essential to the GOP’s hopes in 2022. “We don’t have a snowball chance in hell to take back the majority without Donald Trump, ”Graham said. “If you don’t understand this, you just aren’t looking.”
But is Graham looking at what happened in Georgia – in November and January?
Another thing: if there was no GOP civil war, as GOP Senator Rick Scott argues, would Perdue really have had a run in 2022?
Downloading data: the numbers you need to know today
28.357.850: The number of confirmed coronavirus cases in the United States, according to the most recent data from NBC News and health officials. (That’s 75,205 more than yesterday morning.)
504 871: The number of deaths in the United States from the virus so far, according to the most recent data from NBC News. (That’s 2378 more than yesterday morning.)
55,058: The number of people currently hospitalized with coronavirus in the United States.
346.5 million: The number of coronavirus tests that have been administered in the United States so far, according to researchers from the COVID Tracking Project.
65,032,083: Number of vaccine doses administered in the United States
19,882,544: Fully vaccinated people in the United States
64: The number of days Biden has left to meet his 100-day vaccination goal.
Tweet of the day
Talking about politics with Benjy: Yay for the vaccine edition
There are currently two political stories that dominate coverage of the pandemic: the opening of schools and the distribution of vaccines.
The first is a complex conversation that disturbs just about everyone involved. But the frustration surrounding the opening of schools can distract from the scale of optimism on the vaccine front, which could make some of those conversations difficult faster than we think.
Dr. Thomas Russo, head of infectious diseases at the University of Buffalo, said in an interview that the “extraordinary” vaccines were by far the biggest story of COVID-19 right now. So far, they look more like a miracle every day as new studies come out, new versions are approved, and the benefits are seen in real time.
New Israeli research suggests that vaccines can offer significant protection even after a single dose and even prevent transmission to others, which would be a huge step towards normalcy if the results confirm this. And while the new variants are cause for concern, vaccines appear to protect against the most serious types of disease at the moment.
“[There’s] too much attention on the possible limits and not enough on their important merits that will get us out of this mess, ”said Russo.
The news has been so good lately that Russo is already worried about a premature celebration. Infection rates drop in the United States and other countries, even before widespread immunization, for a variety of possible reasons. If cases hit new lows, younger people could decide the crisis is over and they don’t need a vaccine once it becomes available, which could trigger another epidemic in the winter.
“We need to continue to push and inspire as many people as possible to get vaccinated as soon as their turn comes,” he said.
Recap of yesterday’s busy day on the Hill
Tuesday was a busy day at Capitol Hill. Here’s what you need to know about what happened:
- The Senate confirmed President Biden’s choice for UN Ambassador Linda Thomas Greenfield by a vote of 78 to 20.
- The Senate confirmed Biden’s Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack’s nominee by a 92 to 7 vote. Quick flashback: Vilsack was confirmed as President Obama’s former agriculture secretary in 2009 by a voice vote.
- New Mexico Representative Deb Haaland appeared before the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee for her confirmation hearing to be the next Home Secretary, which nearly all Republican senators have called in question Haaland’s statements against the development of federal lands for fossil fuels.
- Xavier Becerra, Biden’s choice to lead the HHS, also testified on Capitol Hill and faced Republicans questioning his qualifications to lead the department. Becerra is the Attorney General of California.
ICYMI: What else is going on in the world
Biden will transfer his political operation to the DNC to help build the party ahead of midterm.
Joe Manchin says his opposition to Neera Tanden’s confirmation is “not at all personal”.
Here’s what we learned about what experts are calling the intelligence blackout that led to chaos on January 6.
Former far-right activists are launching a new project to fight online radicalization.
The Washington Post reports the role of GOP donor Rebekah Mercer in Speak Out.
NBC’s Suzy Khimm gets a good look at the outcry over how New York has counted her deaths at the Covid nursing home differently from other states.
Biden will travel to Houston later this week to study storm damage.
The Texas disaster gives hope to Beto O’Rourke’s political life.
Kristi Noem is organizing a fundraiser in Mar-a-Lago.