SIL 2021-22 | Three-way battle between ATK Mohun Bagan, Kerala Blasters FC and Mumbai City FC to advance to semi-finals; scenarios explained

Kerala Blasters FC beat Mumbai City FC on Wednesday, increasing their chances of finishing in the top four. With only one league match to go, there are still two semi-final spots up for grabs; According to the current rankings, Jamshedpur FC and Hyderabad FC have already secured their position in the top four.

Now the teams that are still competing for a top 4 spot are ATK Mohun Bagan, Kerala Blasters FCand Bombay City F.C.. SportsCafe looks at the different ways each of the teams could leave the others behind.

Currently, Mohun Bagan is in 3rd place with 34 points in 18 matches. For them to qualify, they only need one point, which they could get in a draw. Which will put them ahead with 35 points and can only be overthrown by Kerala Blasters FC.

Kerala Blasters FC

The Blasters are 4th with 33 points in 19 games. They will face FC Goa in their next game, and a win will secure them a place in the top 4. They can also qualify with a draw. The only thing they need to avoid is a loss against FC Goa.

Bombay City F.C.

Mumbai, who are in 5th place with 31 points from 19 matches, need a win against Hyderabad FC, plus a Kerala Blasters loss to FC Goa would be exactly what they need.

Now there is a very unlikely scenario where all teams end up with 34 points. And for that to happen, ATK Mohun Bagan needs to lose both matches; Kerala Blasters must draw against FC Goa and Mumbai City FC must win against Hyderabad FC.

If this unlikely scenario occurs, the head-to-head record will be considered. This would offer a conclusive answer under normal circumstances. However, with Kerala Blasters FC having a better head-to-head record than Mumbai City FC, Islanders having beaten Mariners and ATKMB having thwarted Kerala Blasters FC, it may not be that simple.

In this situation, a mini table will be formed with the head-to-head matchups against each other. As each club has played the other twice this season, all scores will be based on four games.

The Islanders would lose here too as they only have 4 points from those four games (all four against ATK Mohun Bagan). On the other hand, the Mariners have five points (one against Mumbai City FC and four against Kerala Blasters FC).

Meanwhile, the Tuskers have seven points from four games against the Islanders and Mariners, indicating that if this circumstance occurs, they will qualify as the third-seeded club and play the second-seeded team in the semifinals.

However, right now this race looks good on the side of the 3rd and 4th ranked teams. And only they could let the first 4 places escape them.

You can never say never in a league as fierce and unpredictable as the Hero ISL. And there won’t be much drama until each team plays 20 games.

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