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RIP, Iowa caucuses? – CNNPolitics

“The new plan abandons the current set of early states of Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina and implements a process that would prioritize various battleground states that choose to hold primaries, not caucuses.Under the new structure, states will apply to hold the first nominating contests and the rules committee will select up to five who will be allowed to participate before Super Tuesday, the first Tuesday in March.”

Which, of course, opens up the first stages of the struggle for the party’s nomination. But to be clear, the DNC’s decision impacts Iowa the most — for three reasons.

1) Iowa Democrats botched the 2020 caucuses. As you may recall, the Democrats’ last caucus was a total disaster, with no winner declared for days due to problems reporting caucus results.
2) Iowa is holding a caucus, not a primary. DNC members who voted on the schedule change made it clear they did not want a caucus early in the process. “Let’s be perfectly clear,” said DNC member Elaine Kamarck. “In my mind, that means there are no traditional caucus states in the first formation, and I want to make that very clear.”

3) Iowa is not diverse. One of the top priorities for Democrats in choosing which states go first is voter diversity. Iowa doesn’t have that. More than 90% of its inhabitants are white. (Inset: New Hampshire, which will no doubt strive to retain its status as the nation’s first primary, has an even higher percentage of white residents than Iowa.)

There is, of course, still a chance that Iowa will retain its spot at the top of the Democratic nominating calendar. (The DNC will make a decision on the form of the process in July.)
But, man, it doesn’t look good. (In a feat of understatement, Iowa DNC committee member Scott Brennan acknowledged that the decision presented a “challenge” to his state.)
Point: Iowa voted first on the Democratic side of the presidential nomination fights since 1972. This sequence looks like very probably finished by now.


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