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RFK Jr. candidacy hurts Trump more than Biden, NBC News poll finds

The latest national poll from NBC News shows that third-party voting — and in particular independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. — is cutting even deeper into public opinion. former president Donald Trumps than that of President Joe Biden, although the movement created by the other candidates is within the poll’s margin of error.

Trump leads Biden by 2 percentage points in head-to-head matchup, 46% to 44%, in new NBC News poll

Yet when the ballot is expanded to five named candidates, Biden is the one with a 2-point lead: Biden 39%, Trump 37%, Kennedy 13%, Jill Stein 3% and Cornel West 2%.

The main reason is that poll finds larger share of Trump voters in head-to-head support Kennedy in expanded vote. Fifteen percent of respondents who first chose Trump chose Kennedy in the five-way vote, compared to 7% of those who initially chose Biden.

Additionally, Republican voters view Kennedy much more favorably (40% positive, 15% negative) than Democratic voters (16% positive, 53% negative).

“At this point, (Kennedy’s) appeal seems to be more to Trump voters than Biden voters,” said Democratic pollster Jeff Horwitt, who conducted the NBC News poll with Republican pollster Bill McInturff.

This conclusion, however, contrasts with conventional political wisdom – as well as results from other national polls – suggesting that a larger third-party vote hurts Biden more.

The results of the NBC News poll on Kennedy’s impact are “different from other polls,” said McInturff, the Republican Party pollster. “So there are always two possibilities: One, it’s an outlier. …Or two, we’re going to see more, and our investigation is a harbinger of what’s to come.

The Biden campaign actively tried to withdraw support for Kennedy. More recently, Biden held an event Thursday with members of the Kennedy family who are endorsing the president rather than their parent.

Overall, the party is paying far more attention to Kennedy than to previous third-party candidates, mobilizing new super PACs and an arm of the Democratic National Committee focused on reducing the appeal of his candidacy.

The NBC News poll was conducted April 12-16 among 1,000 registered voters nationwide — 891 contacted by cell phone — and the poll has an overall margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.

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With a penchant for words, jack began writing at an early age. As editor-in-chief of his high school newspaper, he honed his skills telling impactful stories. Smith went on to study journalism at Columbia University, where he graduated top of his class.After interning at the New York Times, jack landed a role as a news writer. Over the past decade, he has covered major events like presidential elections and natural disasters. His ability to craft compelling narratives that capture the human experience has earned him acclaim.Though writing is his passion, jack also enjoys hiking, cooking and reading historical fiction in his free time. With an eye for detail and knack for storytelling, he continues making his mark at the forefront of journalism.
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