Republican Matt Mowers leads New Hampshire primaries crunch

According to a recent poll, Republican Matt Mowers holds a narrow lead in the primary race in New Hampshire’s Battleground First District.

The poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center from Aug. 25-29, found Mowers had a two-point advantage over her closest competitor, Karoline Leavitt. Clippers received 26%, Leavitt 24% and Gail Huff Brown 16%.

Other candidates landed in single digits and 26% said they were undecided.

The Republicans in the race are all hoping to unseat Rep. Chris Pappas (D-NH), a two-term congressman who is seen as one of the Democratic incumbents most likely to lose his seat midway through this year. Pappas narrowly beat Mowers by single digits in his 2020 re-election race.

Election analyst Cook Political Report rates the state’s First District as a draw and one of the few in the country that is not partisan-leaning.

The top three Republicans in the poll are also the three best-funded candidates and the only three to have raised more than $1 million, according to Open Secrets data through June 30. Mowers is a former State Department official appointed by Trump, Leavitt is a former Trump deputy press secretary, and Gail Huff Brown is a former longtime television reporter and wife of former Senator Scott Brown.

The poll is consistent with other recent polls that have found Mowers in the lead, although this is the first poll to show Mowers neck and neck with Leavitt and also the first to indicate that Huff Brown has gained ground.

Leavitt said in a statement that the poll showed him “the campaign is in full swing” and took a swipe at Mowers, saying that “despite the establishment spending hundreds of thousands of dollars to save their puppet, they won’t slow down NOT our momentum”.

Huff Brown also celebrated the poll results as they showed her in her strongest position yet. Huff Brown is “quickly encroaching on favorites,” his campaign said in a statement about the poll, adding that, “importantly, the poll was fully completed before our first ad completed its full timeline.”

Another Huff Brown ad, its most recent TV commercial, deviates from the Republicans’ unwaveringly unwavering stance on protecting the unborn child. Huff Brown, who told Breitbart News she supported the Supreme Court’s monumental decision to overturn Roe vs. Wade, transmits in the announcement that she has personally chosen life but that if she were in Congress she would “protect New Hampshire law and the choice it guarantees”.

Her campaign noted that she believed the ad would help Huff Brown “make inroads” with female voters.

According to the poll, 32% of women support Mowers, 28% support Huff Brown, 10% support Leavitt and many women voters, 28%, remain undecided.

Mowers and Huff Brown are tied in favor ratings, each receiving a net +21 favor in the poll. Leavitt is third in net favor at +15.

The New Hampshire primary takes place in just under two weeks, on September 13.

The poll was conducted among 419 likely Republican primary voters and had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.8%.

Write to Ashley Oliver at Follow her on Twitter at @asholiver.


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