RealClearPolitics overturns New Hampshire Senate race to ‘launch’


RealClearPolitics turned the New Hampshire Senate race on Sunday after Gen. Don Bolduc gained momentum last week against Democratic Sen. Maggie Hassan (D-NH).

Friday, a poll showed that Bolduc was tied with Hassan (45-45%) with 7% undecided. Bolduc has gained 11 points since September, while Hassan has dropped around six points.

The New Hampshire Senate race joins six other Senate races that RealClearPolitics considers a draw. These include Arizona, Nevada, Washington, Georgia, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, though Republicans appear strong in Wisconsin, Georgia and Nevada.

Overall, Republicans have widened the map throughout the 2022 cycle. The GOP has been competitive in all Senate swing state races while finding new Democratic weak spots to attack, such as in the state of Washington. Democrat Patty Murray (D-WA) faces a significant challenge from Tiffany Smiley, who has campaigned for stronger government surveillance of the Washington, DC establishment.

To win the Senate, Republicans must hold Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and win either Arizona, Nevada, Washington State or Georgia to have a one-seat majority in the Senate. FiveThirtyEight believes Republicans will not retake the Senate, although betting odds contradict the pollster.

Follow Wendell Husebo on Twitter @WendellHusebo. He is the author of Politics of Slave Morality.




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