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Premier League permutations: what every team needs as Liverpool take control of the fight in the top four, Chelsea or Leicester could miss out and Tottenham face West Ham for the sixth


We are set for an exciting end to the 2020/21 Premier League season with just two match weeks and there is still a lot to be decided at the top of the table.

Manchester City were crowned champions while Sheffield United, West Brom and Fulham are already relegated.

Premier League race for European football heats up ahead of final two games
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But the race for European places is heating up nicely as the teams enter their final two games and are about to come down to the edge.

Here’s what’s at stake this weekend and what could be resolved …

Premier League permutations

Man City were crowned champions and therefore secured their place in the Champions League next season. They will face Chelsea in this year’s elite European competition final on May 29.

Likewise, Manchester United have already confirmed a top-four spot this season, but they still need at least one more win to be sure of finishing second. The Red Devils will next face Villarreal in the Europa League final on May 26.

Premier League permutations: what every team needs as Liverpool take control of the fight in the top four, Chelsea or Leicester could miss out and Tottenham face West Ham for the sixth
Bruno Fernandes played a key role in United’s top four
Getty

The top four teams in the Premier League will advance to the Champions League group stages while winning either of the European tournaments will also guarantee a place in the group stage.

A maximum of five English teams can play in the Champions League.

With City and United already signed, Chelsea winning the Champions League but finishing fifth would see England’s five-team quota filled.

Premier League matches on talkSPORT

Tuesday 18 May, 7:00 p.m. – Brighton – Manchester CityTalkSPORT EXCLUSIVE

Wednesday 19 May, 6:00 p.m. – Tottenham v Aston Villa –TalkSPORT 2 EXCLUSIVE

Wednesday 19 May, 6:00 p.m. – Newcastle v Sheffield United –EXCLUSIVE TO the talkSPORT APP

Wednesday May 19, 7:00 p.m. – Crystal Palace v Arsenal –EXCLUSIVE TO the talkSPORT APP

Wednesday 19 May, 8:15 p.m. – Burnley v LiverpoolTalkSPORT EXCLUSIVE

The Blues, Leicester and Liverpool are in the mix to finish in the top four while Tottenham and West Ham are not yet mathematically out of it.

Then there is the question of qualification for the Europa League and for the new Europa Conference League.

The team ranked fifth and winner of the FA Cup will advance to the actual group stage of the Europa League.

Leicester beat Chelsea in the cup final last weekend and if both finish in the top four, the Europa League place will go to the next highest-ranked team that did not qualify for a competition of the UEFA.

The place of the Europa Conference League will go to the winners of the EFL Cup. While Man City have won this trophy, their place will go to the next highest-ranked team that did not qualify for a UEFA competition.

This means the Premier League’s top seven clubs are set to secure European football next season. Here’s what could happen …

Premier League permutations: what every team needs as Liverpool take control of the fight in the top four, Chelsea or Leicester could miss out and Tottenham face West Ham for the sixth
The Premier League table as it stands

Leicester

66 points, 36 games – Remaining matches: Chelsea (away), Tottenham (home)

Leicester ensured European football this weekend by winning fame at Wembley in the FA Cup.

They are also in the driver’s seat to finish third and know that four points from their last two games will secure Champions League football.

The Foxes are now guaranteed a place in the Europa League if they break out of the top four and finish fifth at worst.

Arsenal’s exit from the Europa League means that the nightmarish scenario of finishing fourth but not getting Champions League football can no longer occur.

Premier League permutations: what every team needs as Liverpool take control of the fight in the top four, Chelsea or Leicester could miss out and Tottenham face West Ham for the sixth
Leicester lifted the FA Cup for the first time this weekend
AFP

Chelsea

64 points, 36 Matches Remaining matches: Leicester (home), Aston Villa (away)

Defeated FA Cup finalists Chelsea need to win their last two league games to be sure of being in the top four. Tuesday’s Premier League game against Leicester will be crucial.

The Blues would also secure Champions League football if they beat Man City in this season’s tournament final later this month.

Should they suffer a complete collapse, Thomas Tuchel’s side are not yet assured of Europa League football but would be very unlucky to miss out.

Premier League permutations: what every team needs as Liverpool take control of the fight in the top four, Chelsea or Leicester could miss out and Tottenham face West Ham for the sixth
Astonishing winner Alisson from West Brom kept Liverpool on the hunt for a Champions League spot
Getty

Liverpool

63 points, 36 Games Remaining: Burnley (away), Crystal Palace (home)

Goalkeeper Alisson’s remarkable winner against West Brom put Liverpool in the top four.

They will have to improve on their rivals’ results, but Chelsea v Leicester on Tuesday 18 May will be the key for them.

Chelsea and Leicester cannot end the season with more than 69 points which is the maximum Liverpool can reach. The Reds have an inviting end to the season and two out of two wins will be enough to finish fourth.

There is a very real possibility of goal difference in deciding who finishes fourth.

If Chelsea win their remaining games, they will finish with 70 points and in third place. If Leicester lose to Chelsea but beat Tottenham on the final day and Liverpool win their remaining two games, they will be 69 each and the goal difference will be used.

Going into the last two games, Liverpool and Leicester are both at +21. This could mean that even the goals scored will have to be used with the Foxes two ahead of the Reds as it stands.

If Liverpool fail to finish in the top four, a Europa League place awaits us, but a huge change in results could drop them to seventh place in the Europa League.

Tottenham

59 points, 36 games – Spurs remaining games: Aston Villa (home), Leicester (away)

Tottenham’s win over Wolves means they can mathematically still catch up with Chelsea as they are five points behind with six to play for.

Spurs are more likely to have to settle for a place in the Europa League and two wins in their last two games will confirm that.

Tottenham will face Leicester on the final day in another key game.

The North Londoners could slip into seventh place in the Europa Conference League, however, and are currently only ahead of West Ham on goal difference.

Premier League permutations: what every team needs as Liverpool take control of the fight in the top four, Chelsea or Leicester could miss out and Tottenham face West Ham for the sixth
Tottenham aim to finish as high as possible this season
GETTY

Western ham

59 points, 36 Matches Remaining matches: West Brom (away), Southampton (home)

Like Tottenham, West Ham could still reach the top four, but that now seems highly unlikely after their draw at Brighton.

The Hammers will need to improve on Spurs’ results to claim a place in the Europa League.

The Irons will also fear missing out on European football altogether with Everton, Arsenal and Leeds United all able to catch up with them in the last two games.

Everton

56 points, 36 Games Remaining: Wolves (home), Man City (away)

Everton are not in contention for a place in the top five but could still qualify for the Europa League or the Europa Conference League.

The Toffees will have to improve the results of West Ham and / or Tottenham to penetrate the European places.

Arsenal

55 points, 36 Matches Remaining matches: Crystal Palace (away), Brighton (home)

Like Everton, Arsenal are fighting for sixth or seventh place.

They need to improve on what Tottenham, West Ham and Everton are doing to have any chance of claiming European football next season.

Leeds United

53 points, 36 games – Remaining matches: Southampton (away), West Brom (home)

Leeds’ 4-0 win at Burnley kept their weak European hopes alive.

They have to win their remaining two games and then need a nearly impossible swing in the results to follow their path.

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