Our tipster Jones Knows started the season with a bang, tipping Ben White to be carded at 6/1 and he has three bets to attack this weekend.
How did we get along last weekend?
Noticing that Ben White moved to right-back for Arsenal proved to be a profitable spot as the season kicked off with a 6/1 winner for that column as he simply couldn’t resist the urge to eliminate the king of card drawing Wilfried Zaha. It was really adorable stuff.
I dreamed of having a 100% strike rate all season long as we headed into Saturday, but life isn’t made of rainbows and lollipops. Callum Wilson to score first at 5/1 dropped agonizingly as he netted the second as Newcastle swept across Nottingham Forest, while Kyle Walker-Peters barely saw the ball down Southampton’s right, so his shooting odds at 5/1 proved. be a terrible bet.
P+L = +3.5
1pt on Joe Willock to score against Brighton (7/1 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)
Eddie Howe has found the perfect role for Joe Willock in his system where he can use his smart runs in dangerous areas. That puts him in great positions, which has rocketed his expected shots per game and goalscoring average year-to-date, but his market prices remain very attractive for a player of his attacking intent.
Since mid-January he has been leading the way for Newcastle in shots per 90 (2.27) and looked like a man to play with plenty of confidence and speed in the win over Nottingham Forest, shooting three with a return of expected goals of 0.19 and scoring seven touches in the opposition box.
- Two Super 6 players correctly predicted the first five scores and found themselves in contention to clinch West Ham’s £1million win against Manchester City. No player had predicted the result 0-2 and the jackpot was therefore not claimed…
Along with Callum Wilson, who remains equally interesting in all goalscoring markets, Willock is one of Newcastle’s most likely routes to goal. That makes his price of 7/1 with Sky Bet to score anytime pretty silly in a game Newcastle really want something from.
1pt Fulham to win against Wolves and over 50 booking points in the match (7/1 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)
While it won’t get much wider media attention, it looks like a massive game for Wolves and their boss Bruno Lage, who has overseen a comeback of just two points in the last 24 available games out of eight. matches. The pressure is there.
The Molineux faithful were also served with a disappointing draw against Norwich and defeats at Brighton and Leeds still fresh in memory, no doubt, despite the start of a new campaign. Performance hasn’t been there to fall back on either, exemplified by a home goals expected metric of 21.81 last season – only Norwich posted a lower tally.
And a fully pumped-up Fulham side, fresh from a hugely impressive and thrilling performance against Liverpool, are not an ideal opponent when any sort of victory will be demanded by the home fans.
Marco Silva is not someone who changes his system to adapt to away play, so I expect Fulham to continue where he left off last weekend. Here we have a side who were the top away scorers in all four divisions (50) last season – scoring four more than second-best Wigan (46). Fragile wolves are very vulnerable. Fulham looks like a nice price to me at 2/1 with Sky Bet.
I’m also looking to use my ‘inexperienced umpire’ theory to raise Fulham’s price to 7/1 in the hope that he gets through a busy afternoon.
John Brooks has only taken charge of four Premier League games before, averaging 5.25 cards per 90 minutes. The players are very aware of the inexperience of the referee at the highest level and this, added to a stricter approach where a referee eager to impress does not have the authority to allow the game to proceed, makes the very attractive card odds.
In what could be an aggressive game played in a pressure environment, adding the game to produce 50 or more reservation points (10 for a yellow, 25 for a red) makes perfect sense.
2pts on Tottenham to win by a goal against Chelsea (7/2 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)
The most courageous act is still to think for oneself. Aloud.
It’s time to put that into practice. It’s time for some double stakes.
No matter how scary it seems to trust Tottenham to win a game of football at Stamford Bridge, if I’m fully invested in the theory that Spurs are a threat in every competition they play in this season, I have to just support them. to beat an undercooked and underwhelming Chelsea side as outsiders to 21/10 with Sky Bet.
Many of you will be shouting at me right now for pointing out that Chelsea have lost just one of the last 32 league meetings at home to Spurs, winning 21. But it’s a new era at Tottenham with Antonio Tale at the bar. They go far and play with supreme energy while Chelsea – on the evidence of the past six months – stagnate.
Now is the perfect time for Spurs to head west to London.
Thomas Tuchel is clearly not happy with the tools at his disposal before the transfer window closes and it was marked all over their slow and steady performance in the 1-0 win over Everton.
There seemed to be a lack of imagination and attacking cohesion as they stumbled to an expected goals figure (without penalties) of just 0.86 – a fairly low amount considering they won 16 corners in the game against a team that cannot defend from set pieces. A lack of imagination in the frontcourt has been a concern in 2022. Chelsea have scored just 34 goals to an expected 32.1 year-to-date with Liverpool (46), Man City (50) and Tottenham (51) all showing much bigger numbers in the final third.
With Chelsea’s defense still among the best in the Premier League and Spurs very unlikely to get away with the game, I’m happy to be greedy and raise the price by backing Conte’s men to win by a goal at 7/2.