House Majority PAC, the super PAC aligned with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA), on Friday announced plans to withdraw millions of dollars from California’s 27th District, an area represented by Rep. Mike Garcia (R- CA) that President Joe Biden carried by 12 points in 2020.
House Majority PAC appears to be abandoning the Garcia District with less than three weeks to go midterm by canceling $2.2 million in TV bookings.
Garcia is running against Democrat Christy Smith, whom he defeated once in the 2019 special election to take the seat of disgraced former Rep. Katie Hill (D-CA) and again in the 2020 election.
Garcia ended the campaign’s third quarter of fundraising with more than double the $3 million raised by Smith, according to recent Federal Election Commission filings.
The House Majority PAC’s decision to drop the Garcia District comes after the PAC announced in August that it would spend $20 million midterm in a last-ditch effort to save the majority of House Democrats.
Last month, Pelosi predicted Democrats would retain a majority, though Republicans need just five seats to flip the House.
“Yes, indeed,” Pelosi told Punchbowl News when asked if Democrats would win any seats in November. “So we are ready. Mobilize on the ground… send messages, raise funds. But the most important factor of all is not only that we believe, but that the candidates believe. So for a year, 10 months, eight months, great people put themselves out there thinking they could win in those neighborhoods.
The House Majority PAC move is indicative of a broader pattern of Republicans competing in districts Biden carried by wide margins.
As the New York Times reported:
The flow of money from super PACs and national party committees, which prioritize the most competitive races, reveals a landscape of the House battleground that is massively tilted towards the seats Mr. Biden won in 2020 Such a landscape is significant: Democrats have all but given up contesting more Republican ground won by Donald J. Trump, putting the party heavily on the defensive.
Of the 46 House races that had seen at least $3 million in outside spending over the past weekend, 42 of them were carried by Mr. Biden in 2020, according to data compiled by Rob Pyers, the director research from the California Target Book, which analyzes political races.
Eleven of the most money-awash districts are seats that Mr. Biden won by 10 percentage points or more. That’s a remarkable number of solidly Democratic seats for Republicans. In 2020, Democrats won no district that Mr. Trump won by 10 points or more.
For example, Republicans are battling in Rhode Island’s second congressional district, a state that hasn’t sent a Republican to Congress in nearly 30 years.
“If the Democrats play defense in Rhode Island, they lose nationwide,” Republican National Committee Member Steven Frias told the New York Times.
Republicans are also in the running for governor of New York, which hasn’t seen a competitive race in two decades.
With Democrats playing defense, it seems their strategy of funneling money into the GOP primaries is backfiring. Democrats spent about $53 million in Republican primaries in several states to promote candidates they considered easier to defeat.
For example, Democratic Senate Leader Chuck Schumer’s (D-NY) Senate Majority PAC threw $3.2 million into New Hampshire’s U.S. Senate Republican primary on ads that boosted the general’s campaign. Don Bolduc.
However, now that Bolduc is the Republican Senate nominee, recent polls have shown he is in a stalemate with Democratic Sen. Maggie Hassan, trailing the incumbent by less than a percentage point.
A Democratic pollster told the Time that “reality is setting in” for Democrats.
“We kinda thought we could defy gravity, but reality sets in,” said Data for Progress executive director Sean McElwee.
Jordan Dixon-Hamilton is a reporter for Breitbart News. Write to him at firstname.lastname@example.org or follow him on Twitter.