We have come to the last day of the NHL regular season! Sure, there’s a game on Sunday from a postponement, but that’s really it.
Time has flown by this season, and luckily for us, we’re just getting started as the playoffs await.
We’ve had a great week of prop picks, and the best thing to do is finish strong. We have a handful of bets on Friday, both in the points and shots on goal (SOG) variety.
Let’s come to the spots.
Casey Mittelstadt over 0.5 point (+105 DK)
We start with a betting angle I’ve been beating the table on for weeks now: crosses against Chicago.
Not only do the Blackhawks see a ton of shots from position (and shots in general), but they consistently allow centers to score against them.
In the last game, we targeted Chandler Stephenson to score, who instead had three assists. I take that lesson and pivot to a straight point prop for the second line center on Buffalo.
Mittelstadt had an assist in the last meeting of these two teams and have five points in their last five home games. He has 10 shots on 13 attempts in his last two games, so that could definitely be a goal, but either way, I love seeing his recent involvement.
Buffalo is averaging 3.6 goals per game at home in its last five games while Chicago is averaging 4.0 goals against them in its last five road games. I love Mittelstadt for getting in on the action tonight.
James van Riemsdyk on 2.5 SOG (+120 CZR)
We return to JVR, who have now reached their SOG in five straight games. Ottawa is allowing 31.5 shots per game on the road in its last 10 (33.4 in L5), so the opposition certainly ticks the box.
Beyond five straight hits, I like van Riemsdyk’s attempts, averaging 6.6 per game in his last five, and hitting in the last game against Ottawa.
The Senators are tied for second in power-play chances allowed (PPOA) of the last 10 games, and JVR leads Philly in power-play shots lately, with 11 in its last 10.
At +120, it’s worth watching tonight.
Steven Stamkos over 1.5 points (+145 DK)
At this point, betting on Steven Stamkos to save more than two points is an automatic bet until he lets us down. Stamkos has now surpassed that total in eight straight games, racking up 23 points in that span.
23 points in eight games! It’s really amazing.
The Lightning have the motivation to win tonight to lock in their playoff seeding, and the Islanders have scored a few home goals lately, allowing 3.8 per game over their last five.
They also rank near the top of the PPOA, and Stamkos lives on the PP. These potential opportunities give us extra confidence that Stamkos can score two points again.
Roope Hintz on 2.5 SOG (-110 CZR)
Hintz is another repeat target, but the situation calls for his inclusion in our betting slip tonight.
Hintz has now hit his SOG in three consecutive games, all at home. Anaheim is allowing 34.8 shots per game in its last 10 on the road, a number that has risen to 40.4 in its last five games alone.
The Ducks have also been generous with centers, allowing the position the fourth-most shots per game since the start of March.
Dallas could overtake Nashville in the standings and avoid Colorado in the first round, an incentive that would suggest maximum effort tonight.
Roman Josi on 3.5 SOG (+115 DK)
Roman Josi gets an Arizona team he’s dominated this year to finish his regular season. In two games against the Coyotes, Josi has four and seven SOG and six points overall.
You probably know by now that Arizona passes a ton of shots, and the most to defenders. Well, it’s Josi, and with previous successes against the team and an average of 8.0 attempts per game over his last 10, this is a good place to load him up.
He’s also been solid on the road, topping his SOG in eight of his last 11 games. As mentioned in Hintz’s reasoning, the Predators are another team with something to play for tonight.
.5u: Roman Josi over 1.5 points (+160 bar stool)
We’re sticking with Josi, doubling up on star defenders to go over 1.5 points. Highlighted above, he won a point against Arizona, finishing with a total of six in two games.
Beyond that, I like to follow the story of Josi making one last push to win the Norris Trophy, awarded to the league’s top defensemen.
With expected shots and solid scoring trends, it’s worth a shot. I just put half a unit.
For now, it will do, many accessories are still not released yet. I’ll probably have more games on Twitter as the day goes on, so be sure to check back later.
Good luck tonight, let’s finish this week strong by cashing in some NHL bets!