This is the last day of the seven-day lotto ticket challenge I’ve taken on. One more night to do something of the week here. It would be fantastic for us to get a win, and this Wednesday in the NHL has goal value.
There are only two games tonight, which makes it difficult to build a three-way bet. Instead of including a scorer in the Washington-Edmonton game, I’m putting all my eggs in the Montreal-Vancouver basket instead.
The approach here is a Same Game bet of three goalscorers in this match. I see the value of the goals scored on both sides tonight. I will highlight why I like every team to score goals and then who from each team is included in the SGP.
SGPs in the NHL are only available on DraftKings, so that’s where that +2500 ticket is loaded.
Montreal has been quietly picking up the scoring pace lately, averaging 3.6 goals per game on the road in its last five games, the tenth-highest mark in the NHL.
On an expected goals per game basis, their tally should hold around the 3.0 mark, making them a good target tonight.
It’s their opponent who really attracts me to Montreal. Vancouver has allowed 3.6 goals per game in its last five home games and is seeing a steady stream of shots against them.
What strikes me is the Canucks’ penalty kill, which is simply atrocious by the most advanced stats.
Whether it’s predicted goals against, actual goals against, Corsi Against or High Danger Corsi Against, this Vancouver PK is one of the last seven units in the NHL.
With that in tow, we charge two members of the Canadiens’ power play front row (and front row), to score one.
Cole Caufield and Nick Suzuki are the men for the task, each bringing us tremendous +260 value on DraftKings.
Vancouver was generous in scoring from left wing and center positions, where our golden geese preside.
Caufield has scored in five of his last 10 games, while Suzuki has scored in consecutive matches.
These two skaters scored in the same game against Edmonton on Saturday, proving they can do it together. It’s a similar situation, as Edmonton also has a bad power-play and Montreal took advantage with two power-play goals.
It has to be redone.
Goal options: Cole Caufield and Nick Suzuki
Vancouver have been scoring a lot lately and at home they have averaged 4.4 goals per game in their last five games.
Montreal has been one of the most vulnerable teams to score all season, allowing four goals per game in its last 10 outings.
There’s a lot to like, but what strikes me is how many goals the Canadiens have allowed at center.
Sure, you could pick JT Miller, but I’m much more drawn to Elias Pettersson, who’s second line center and is on the top line on the power play.
Pettersson has rolled at home, with six goals in his last seven games. His shot attempts also see a drastic leap while playing Vancouver, and with four power-play points in his last three at home, he looks well-equipped to capitalize on what is an equally weak power-play unit at Montreal.
Goal option: Elias Petterson
We mix it up to wrap up this seven-day challenge. What do we have to lose? I love all of the above, and I think this game offers some solid scoring tendencies that you can apply to standalone point props, overhead, and more.
This SGP is +2500 on DK. Good luck tonight!