Several road underdogs had shaken victories last week, much to the chagrin (or delight) of those in the NFL selection pools. It’s been a predictable and unpredictable year, and many are probably feeling lost as they contemplate their Week 4 picks. Fortunately, the numbers from TeamRankings are here to help you with strategy tips and tricks for your pool.
In this article, we highlight five NFL Week 4 picks that may give you an edge to win NFL Selection Contests or Trust Pools in 2021. Find Week 4 picks that are under – Publicly Estimated Weekly Wins Can Make The Difference Between Winning And Losing An NFL Pool Throughout The Season, While Smart Choices Can Lead To Success In Weekly Pools.
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Week 4 NFL Pick ’em Pool Picks: Tips, Strategy
How We Identify NFL Week 4 Value Picks
This article is written on Tuesday, but if the winning odds and pick popularity numbers hold up, the teams below all come up with compelling risk / reward strategies to differentiate your Week 4 picks from your pool opponents. .
It’s important to note that we’re not necessarily saying you should do all of those choices. In particular, some thwarted choices may be unnecessarily risky for your pool, even if they are technically undervalued. If you want our game-by-game selection recommendations for everyone your specific pools, use our Football Pick ’em Picks product.
To note: The winning odds and estimated popularity data below may change between publish time and kick off time. If you want the latest numbers, our product is updated several times a day.
Denver Broncos vs. Baltimore Ravens
Point spread: -1.0
Choose popularity: 37%
Category: unpopular toss-up
Denver started off 3-0, but given that those victories came against the Giants, Jaguars and Jets, the public doesn’t seem ready to board the Broncos train as they face more competition. rough. Right now, Denver is the small favorite at home against Baltimore, but the Ravens are chosen almost two-thirds of the time.
It gives you a valuable edge staying with the Broncos, who have won every game so far in double digits.
FANTASY PPR WEEK 4 RANKINGS:
quarterback | Back | Wide receiver | Tight end | D / ST | Kicker
Minnesota Vikings vs. Cleveland Browns
Point spread: +2.0
Choose popularity: 32%
Category: Value Gamble in Weekly Prize Pools
Minnesota were wildly unpopular last week and beat Seattle at home as a slight underdog. They were also very unpopular in week two and missed out on the winning basket in Arizona. Now they face the Browns in what is set to be one of the most compelling clashes of Week 4.
Vikings are a bit more popular than last week, but they still come in good enough value in weekly contests to consider them a life-changing game.
MORE TEAM RANKINGS: Tips on the Week 4 NFL Survivor Pool (link coming soon)
Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions
Point spread: -3.0
Choose popularity: 56%
Category: Value Favorite
The Bears totaled 47 yards last week in rookie QB Justin Fields’ first start. Justin Tucker’s winning kick to beat Detroit covered more distance than the Bears’ offense.
It’s understandable that the public is a bit put off by the Bears coming out of this game and bringing the Lions home, especially after Detroit came so close to upsetting Baltimore. However, it’s important to avoid the trap of recency bias for the selection strategy, and you can get Chicago at a decent value in a season’s pools by simply sticking with the favorite this week.
TeamRankings football choices:
Choice of survivor pool | Pick ’em Pool Picks | NFL betting choices
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Point spread: -7.5
Choose popularity: 93%
Category: Reasonable Price Biggest Favorite
Everything is relative, and at the start the Chiefs are enjoying a slight reduction in popularity compared to the other big favorites this week. Of the seven teams favored by 6.5 or more points, Kansas City is the “least popular” with 93% preferred popularity in the winner-based pools. For a specific comparison, only three percent of the public pick the Jets to beat the Titans or the Giants to beat the Saints, more than double the number of entries willing to take the risk of the Chiefs falling to 1-3.
As a result, making Kansas City a higher Trust Point game compared to other similarly favored teams is a reasonable value-driven move in Trust Pools.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Carolina Panthers
Point spread: -5.0
Category: Favorite at reasonable price
The Cowboys are coming in at relative value this week, which is somewhat surprising for the USA team. Dallas sits between the large group of big favorites chosen by almost everyone and the close games where the public is quite divided this week.
With about one in four entries willing to try their luck against Carolina without RB star Christian McCaffrey (hamstring), it’s best to stick with Dallas this week. There are better ways to differentiate your selection from the six matchups involving a favorite of one placement or less this week, including the Chicago, Minnesota and Denver selections we’ve highlighted above.
Get all of our Week 4 NFL picks
TeamRankings Football Pick ’em Picks is the only product that gives you the choices, tools and analysis you need to maximize your advantage in NFL Selection Pools. It uses algorithms to identify the calculated risks that give you the best chance of winning your straight-up, points spread, or trust pool.
From a strategic point of view, game theory is a fundamental aspect of winning pick ’em pools. In short, to win a pick ’em pool, you have to score points that your opponents lack. This means you need to identify unpopular choices that are worth a calculated bet and avoid trendy upset choices that are not worth the risk. Our product does all of this math for you, 71% of our subscribers claim to have won a prize in soccer selection contests.
If you would like to learn more about pick ’em football pool strategy, you can also check out our free strategy articles for winning pick’ em football pools.
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Good luck in your pools this week!