Week 5 of the 2021 NFL season was another week that tilted in favor of the favorites, albeit barely. The underdogs went 7-8-1 ATS with some notable upsets. The Bears beat the favorite Raiders in Las Vegas on Sunday afternoon while the Bills beat the defending AFC champion Chiefs on “Sunday Night Football” 38-20. It shocked punters who thought the Chiefs would be close to making a statement after a lackluster start to the season.
Week 6 of the 2021 NFL season has arrived and there are a lot of things that bettors and bookmakers will need to pay attention to in their betting analysis. First of all, the weeks off start in week 6, so four teams will be absent. These are the Falcons, Jets, Saints and 49ers.
Plus, the Raiders have undergone a massive change seemingly overnight. Jon Gruden is no longer the team’s head coach after emails he sent between 2011 and 2018 – which contained racist, homophobic and misogynistic language – were made public. He resigned from his post on Monday night and was replaced by interim coach Rich Bisaccia. How will the Raiders react to the change of coach there? It will be one of the biggest scenarios to watch for the future.
JON GRUDEN resignation: Explaining the emails that prompted him to quit the Raiders
Elsewhere, injuries continue to be key for teams, especially at quarterback. Daniel Jones (concussion) is the latest NFL passer to be pushed around while Tua Tagovailoa (ribs) could resume training in Week 6. If he does, he may be able to play in the. London Jaguars-Dolphins game, but Miami may choose to play it safe with him and bring him back after their week off.
Also, it should be noted that the Justin Fields vs. Andy Dalton drama appears to be over. Fields should be the starter moving forward, so there’s no question whether it will be Fields or Dalton as the Bears quarterback. He’ll be the rookie now, provided he can stay healthy.
Knowing the latest injury news and trends will be essential for punters, especially during the off-week season when some teams will be better rested than others.
For more expert NFL predictions, check out Sporting News’ direct and ATS picks for Week 6.
NFL CHOICE OF THE WEEK 6: Against the spread | Directly
NFL odds for week 6
Below are the latest NFL odds from Week 6, including point spreads, cash margins and over-under totals for each game, according to FanDuel Sportsbook.
Last updated: Tuesday, October 12
NFL Point Spreads Week 6
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Philadelphia Eagles||VG -7|
|Miami Dolphins vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (in London)||MIA -3.5|
|Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts||IND -9.5|
|Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears||GB -4.5|
|Kansas City Chiefs to Washington Football Team||KC -6.5|
|Minnesota Vikings vs. Carolina Panthers||MIN -1.5|
|Los Angeles Chargers at the Baltimore Ravens||BAL -3|
|Cincinnati Bengals vs. Detroit Lions||CIN -3.5|
|Los Angeles Rams vs. New York Giants||LAR -10.5|
|Arizona Cardinals at the Cleveland Browns||KEY -3|
|Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos||DEN -3.5|
|Dallas Cowboys vs. New England Patriots||DAL -4|
|Seattle Seahawks vs. Pittsburgh Steelers||PIT -4.5|
|Buffalo Bills in the Tennessee Titans||BUF -4.5|
NFL Money Lines Week 6
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Philadelphia Eagles||VG -295|
|Miami Dolphins vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (in London)||MIA -180|
|Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts||IND -420|
|Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears||GB -215|
|Kansas City Chiefs to Washington Football Team||KC -310|
|Minnesota Vikings vs. Carolina Panthers||MIN -116|
|Los Angeles Chargers at the Baltimore Ravens||BAL -164|
|Cincinnati Bengals vs. Detroit Lions||CIN -188|
|Los Angeles Rams vs. New York Giants||LAR -550|
|Arizona Cardinals at the Cleveland Browns||KEY -152|
|Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos||DEN -184|
|Dallas Cowboys vs. New England Patriots||DAL -220|
|Seattle Seahawks vs. Pittsburgh Steelers||PIT -220|
|Buffalo Bills in the Tennessee Titans||BUF -235|
NFL over-under of week 6
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Philadelphia Eagles||51.5|
|Miami Dolphins vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (in London)||45.5|
|Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts||42.5|
|Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears||45|
|Kansas City Chiefs to Washington Football Team||55.5|
|Minnesota Vikings vs. Carolina Panthers||46.5|
|Los Angeles Chargers at the Baltimore Ravens||51.5|
|Cincinnati Bengals vs. Detroit Lions||47.5|
|Los Angeles Rams vs. New York Giants||47.5|
|Arizona Cardinals at the Cleveland Browns||49.5|
|Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos||44.5|
|Dallas Cowboys vs. New England Patriots||49.5|
|Seattle Seahawks vs. Pittsburgh Steelers||42.5|
|Buffalo Bills in the Tennessee Titans||53.5|
MORE: What’s Wrong With Chiefs Defense Explained
Best NFL bets for week 6
Cardinals (+3) at Browns
The Cardinals are the only 5-0 team in the NFL, but they are bracing for what appears to be a tough game against the Browns. That said, betting them as underdogs looks appealing given that Cleveland is under assault right now.
The Browns were deprived of left tackle Jedrick Wills, edge rusher Jadeveon Clowney, cornerback Greg Newsome II and top receiver Jarvis Landry in Week 5, and it’s unclear whether those three players will return to the game. ‘action. The team also suffered numerous injuries in Sunday’s game, as right tackle Jack Conklin and corners Denzel Ward and Greedy Williams left the game and did not return.
Myles Garrett also suffers from a few knee and ankle injuries so he might not be 100%.
So, to make a long story short, the Browns are stoned and, even worse, they lack depth at two key positions: the offensive tackle and the cornerback. If Wills and Conklin can’t play against the Cardinals, Cleveland will begin their fourth and fifth string tackles as top substitute Chris Hubbard is out for the season. They could move Joel Bitonio on the outside, but that would weaken the inside offensive line.
At the corner, the Browns would struggle to cover Kyler Murray’s plethora of weapons, including DeAndre Hopkins, AJ Green, Christian Kirk and Rondale Moore. Now is not a good time to be without their best players out there.
To make matters worse, the Browns play on “Thursday Night Football” in Week 7, so they may need to think about resting the players to be healthy for this game. The mini-bye after that will come in handy, but if they rush the players to play against the Cardinals, they may not be ready to face the Broncos.
Having said that, it seems like the right time to bet on the Cardinals. They win, play well, and have the receiving guns and passing rush to take advantage of Cleveland’s weaker positions. They could win this game straight away, so bet on them while they remain a three-point underdog. It may not last long.
WEEK 6 PPR RANKINGS:
quarterback | Back | Wide receiver | Tight end | D / ST | Kicker
Raiders (+3.5) at the Broncos
I know I know. The Raiders just saw their head coach Jon Gruden step down over the email scandal. Won’t they be distracted by this before a tough division game on the road against one of their rivals?
Of course, it is possible. But oddly enough, teams that undergo mid-season coaching changes have actually won more often in recent years. Since 2015, the teams have recorded an 8-5 record with an interim coach at the helm. That tilts the balance a bit in favor of the Raiders.
|Year||Team||Coach fired||Game after shooting|
|2020||Falcons||Dan Quinn||Win against the Vikings 40-23|
|2020||Texans||Bill o’brien||Win over the Jaguars 30-14|
|2019||Panthers||Ron Rivers||Loss to the Falcons 40-20|
|2019||Washington||Jay gruden||Defeat Dolphins 17-16|
|2018||Packers||Mike mccarthy||Win against the Falcons 34-20|
|2018||brown||Hue Jackson||Loss to Chiefs 37-21|
|2017||giants||Ben mcadoo||Loss to Cowboys 30-10|
|2016||Invoices||Rex ryan||Loss to Jets 30-10|
|2016||Jaguars||Gus Bradley||Defeat the Titans 38-17|
|2016||Rams||Jeff Fisher||Loss to Seahawks 24-3|
|2015||Eagles||kelly chip||Win against Giants 35-30|
|2015||Titans||Ken Whisenchasse||Win over Saints 34-28|
|2015||dolphins||Joe philbin||Defeat the Titans 38-10|
Admittedly, Gruden’s situation is a little different from that of the other coaches on the list above. They were largely in the hot seat as Gruden’s departure was done quickly in the span of four days, so it might be a bit more difficult for the Raiders to motivate themselves for this one.
At the same time, they might see it as an opportunity to refocus on football, and they’ve had the Broncos number for the last few years. They are 7-4 against them in their last 11 meetings and have won four of the last five. Two of the Raiders’ losses in that span have also been by a single point, so they would have covered a 3.5-point lead in nine of those 11 games.
The Raiders may be without their coach, but they’re still a strong 3-2 team and the Broncos ‘solid defense just gave up nearly 400 yards and 27 points to the hapless Steelers’ offense. Las Vegas often play Denver, even on the road, so trusting them to keep this game in a field goal is a good move.
NFL POWER RANKINGS: Bills prove to be a serious contender
Rams (-10.5) to Giants
There’s nothing sexy about trusting a road favorite with 10.5 points, but there’s a lot to love about the Rams in this game. Or, at least, there’s a lot to dislike about the Giants.
The Giants were already having consistency issues in attack, and they only think they’ll be reinforced with Saquon Barkley (ankle) and Kenny Gollday (knee) out of action in Week 6. What if Daniel Jones can’t clear the NFL concussion protocol, the team will be in even worse shape as they will be deprived of their best quarterback, running back and wide receiver against a strong defense.
Jones’ status will be the most important thing to watch in this game. If he’s out of action, Mike Glennon will be the starter. Glennon generally has decent stats, but he’s only won once in nine starts since 2017. During that span, Glennon’s teams have been beaten by an average of 14.1 points per game; his teams have on average only 16.8 points per start.
That doesn’t bode well for Glennon, especially as the Rams are averaging 28.2 points per game (eighth best in the NFL) and are allowing just 23.2 points per game (12th under in the NFL ).
The Giants are only averaging 20.6 points per game with Jones, and that number should decrease if Glennon starts. So feel free to trust the Rams if Glennon starts up, even as the big favorites.