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Newsom’s recall election in California: next steps for results

The polling stations close at 8 p.m., then the count begins.

It’s still unclear when we’ll know if voters ousted Gov. Gavin Newsom, although recent polls have suggested that supporters of the recall are having an uphill battle. Those same polls show Larry Elder left behind his GOP rivals to replace Newsom by a wide margin. But that only matters if Newsom is recalled.

By early Tuesday afternoon, about 9.1 million Californians, or about 41% of the electorate, had already returned their ballots, according to information compiled by Political Data Inc., a California election research firm. . Although every registered voter statewide received a ballot in the mail, many still made it to their local polling stations on Tuesday.

Some basics

A schedule for counting the ballots tonight (and beyond)

What you need to know about “the second question” and the writings

Key factors: democratic participation and who will actually vote on the second question

Information on the closing of the poll

How to tell if your mail-in ballot has been counted

What we know about participation

Times Sacramento bureau chief John Myers offered some data of what we know now:

Information compiled by Political Data Inc., a California-based electoral research firm, shows that young voters and Latino voters accounted for a lower percentage of early ballots compared to their share of the registered voters.

Data reported up to late Tuesday shows that 64% of all ballots collected were cast by Californians aged 50 or older, even though voters in those older age groups make up only 49% of the ballots. registered voters. Only 16% of the anticipated votes came from voters between the ages of 18 and 34, a group that represents 28% of voters who received a ballot.

In terms of race and ethnicity, Latino voters were also under-represented in early reports. While they represented 27% of all voters, only 18% of the first ballots came from Latinos.

White voters were overrepresented in the ballots that were submitted Tuesday night by 9 percentage points from their share of the registered electorate.

Voter diversity is a persistent challenge in California.

Researchers from the non-partisan Public Policy Institute of California began reporting on the state’s “exclusive electorate” in the early 2000s. As the state diversified, its constituents reflected a bygone era. .

“California voters tend to be older, white, college graduates, well-off, and homeowners,” PPIC researchers wrote in a 2016 update report. Asked to choose between these two economic categories.

“Non-voters tend to be younger, Latino, renters, less wealthy, and less likely to have a college education than likely voters – and they generally identify as poor.”

Challenges?

Another question is whether anyone will try to challenge the results. Some right-wing activists began to cast doubt on the integrity of the vote and made baseless allegations.

On Tuesday, Newsom and GOP candidate Caitlyn Jenner both addressed conspiracy theories about election irregularities.
“This electoral fraud thing is a pitcher; it is shameful. And when I say that, I mean it, ”Newsom said. “Guys like me come and go. We are a dime a dozen politicians. Literally a dime a dozen. These are our institutions. It is about this nation. It is a matter of trust and confidence.

He called on politicians and other figures he blames for peddling “the big lie”.

Voting in Beverly Hills, Jenner said, “I believe in the system. I believe in the state of California. I believe in our electoral system. I think it’s important that the citizens of this state come together and make sure that our electoral laws are upright.

Elder declined to answer whether he would accept the election results if the recall effort fails. He recently added a section to his campaign website called “Stop Fraud” where voters can report irregularities.

LA election officials said there were few problems with the ballot. But here’s a guide to this side of the encore battle:

“Collecting the ballots” is a controversial subject that neither side wants to talk about

Election fraud conspiracy theories are on the rise

Growing Concerns Over Right-Wing “Poll Watchers”

Legal issues surrounding California recall leave little room for debate