Multiple polls show Democrats struggling just months from election night


Several polls recently released by RMG Research showed vulnerable Democrats across the country risk losing less than three months from election night.

The Texas Fifteenth Congressional District poll showed Republican Monica De La Cruz would win against Democratic challenger Michelle Vallejo, according to an RMG Research poll of 400 likely midterm voters in the district July 22-29. The poll’s margin of error was plus or minus 4.9 percent.

  • Monica De La Cruz: 44%
  • Michelle Vallejo: 40%
  • Another candidate: 4%
  • Not sure: 12%

The new poll from North Carolina’s 13th congressional district showed Republican Bo Hines would win against his Democratic opponent, Wally Nickel, according to an RMG Research poll of 400 likely midterm voters in the district from July 31 through July 6. august. The poll’s margin of error was plus or minus 4.9 percent.

  • Bo Hines: 44%
  • Wally Nickel: 39%
  • Another candidate: 3%
  • Not sure: 14%

Maryland’s sixth congressional district poll showed incumbent Rep. David Trone (D) losing to Republican opponent Neil Parrott, according to an RMG Research poll of 400 likely midterm voters in the district. August 3-9. the margin of error was plus or minus 4.9%.

  • Neil Parrot: 45%
  • Representative David Trone: 43%
  • Another candidate: 3%
  • Not sure: 9%

Pennsylvania’s seventh congressional district poll showed incumbent Rep. Susan Wild (D) would lose to Republican challenger Lisa Scheller, according to an RMG Research poll of 400 likely midterm voters in the district. from July 31 to August 5. the poll’s margin of error was plus or minus 4.9%.

  • Lisa Scheller: 47%
  • Rep. Susan Wild: 43%
  • Another candidate: 2%
  • Not sure: 8%

Pennsylvania’s First Congressional District poll showed incumbent Republican Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick would fend off his Democratic challenger, Ashley Ehasz, but is within reach for the incumbent, according to an RMG Research poll of 400 likely mid-term voters. mandate in the district from July. 22 to 29. The poll’s margin of error was plus or minus 4.9%.

  • Representative Brian Fitzpatrick: 42%
  • Ashley Ehasz: 35%
  • Another candidate: 10%
  • Not sure: 13%

Nevada’s fourth congressional district poll showed incumbent Rep. Steven Horsford (D) tied with Republican challenger Sam Peters, according to an RMG Research poll of 400 likely midterm voters in the district from August 2 to 8. the margin of error was plus or minus 4.9%.

  • Sam Peters: 43%
  • Representative Steven Horsford: 43%
  • Another candidate: 4%
  • Not sure: 10%

Washington’s eighth congressional district poll showed Democratic incumbent Rep. Kim Schrier would fend off Republican opponent Matt Larkin but is within reach of the incumbent, according to an RMG Research poll of 400 likely voters mid – term in the district from August 10 to 15. The poll’s margin of error was plus or minus 4.9 percent.

  • Matt Larkin: 43%
  • Representative Kim Schrier: 47%
  • Another candidate: 3%
  • Not sure: 8%

Arizona’s fourth congressional district poll showed incumbent Democratic Rep. Greg Stanton would fend off Republican opponent Kelly Cooper but is within reach of the incumbent, according to an RMG Research poll of 400 likely voters midterm in the district from August 10 to 15. The poll’s margin of error was plus or minus 4.9 percent.

  • Matt Larkin: 39%
  • Representative Greg Stanton: 46%
  • Another candidate: 4%
  • Not sure: 11%

Last week, Breitbart News reported on other polls that showed Republicans’ battle to regain a majority in the House extends to more districts. The poll indicated Republicans are polling well, if not better than Democrats — in some cases, in generally secure seats that Joe Biden won in the last presidential election by 11 to 15 points.

In 2018, Democrats took the House from Republicans. In 2020, after scrambling to win it back, Republicans left Democrats the thinnest majority in modern history and gave themselves the upper hand midterm.

For Republicans, winning a majority will require a net gain of just five seats in November, and much is at stake in both the House and the Senate. Losing either could mean Democrats and President Joe Biden will have a harder time getting their agenda items across before the next presidential election.

Republicans are currently expected to win a majority of 12 to 35 seats.

Jacob Bliss is a reporter for Breitbart News. Write to him at [email protected] or follow him on Twitter @JacobMBliss.




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