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  • The latest QE round ending in March will have no obvious effect on the economy
  • Expects long-term rates to rise after the Fed begins raising rates and shrinking its balance sheet
  • The Fed probably won’t wait as long as it once did to reduce its balance sheet
  • Federal funds are the main tool of monetary policy

I thought we might see an early end to QE this month, but that doesn’t seem to be on the table.


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