Didn’t we do it a few months ago? Believe me, I have no complaints about seeing Augusta National more than once in any 12 month period. In my mind, The Masters is the Super Bowl of the PGA Tour season, and as Jim Nantz likes to say, “it’s a tradition unlike any other.” It also offers some of the most competitive and fun DFS golfing opportunities you’ll find year round.
You can basically ignore all the amateurs and elders who are playing this weekend. Everything revolves around the 50 players who have a legitimate chance of winning this weekend. My job is to provide you with the golfers who I think have the best combination of price, ownership and level of play to help you win next Sunday. It is always extremely difficult to narrow my DFS reading book to a few, especially the top level. I wouldn’t blame you for playing someone $ 9,000 or more.
MASTERS BETTING: Best bets, sleepers | Top accessories
I say this every time the Masters is held, but it is truly a singular event that all fans of the sport look forward to. Growing up there were few things I loved more than watching Sunday in Augusta with my dad. The Masters also officially signifies the start of the golf season, which means dusting off old clubs and heading to the driving range.
PGA DFS Strategy for Masters 2021
When you talk about Augusta National, I don’t really need to go into detail because it is one of the most famous courses in the world. It is a par 72 which measures between 7400 and 7500 meters depending on the daily configuration. This course is a very difficult and true test of a golfer’s game. There are very long par 4s and accessible par 5s. The greens are still the fastest on tour and difficult for these players to glue due to the shaved edges. Since the course was extended in 2010, we’ve seen a majority of 300-yard bombers win or finish in the top 10, but there are exceptions to all the rules, namely Charl Schwartzel, Danny Willett, Jordan Spieth and Patrick Reed. Looking at the course history, good “Greens in Regulation” numbers have proven to be very beneficial to success at Augusta.
Augusta National will always be known as a second shot course. That means our favorite statistic comes back into play this weekend: “Strokes Won: Approaching.” This means targeting tall, long irons, aka ball attackers. Tiger Woods is perhaps the most outstanding iron player of all time, and that’s why he has five green jackets hanging in his closet. This is the only way to score on this course, giving you as many bird breeding opportunities as possible. Tiger was also the best jammer in the history of the game, which puts that in my key stats for the week.
Course history is vitally important to the Masters, even though this is just one previous trip as we’ve seen with Danny Willett and Jordan Spieth over the past few years. No player won in Augusta on his first attempt since Fuzzy Zoeller in 1979. When you look at the top 20 in the November leaderboard, you will see a lot of experienced players. Thaht said, we’ve also seen a few newbies, such as Sungjae Im, CT Pan and Cameron Champ slip into the mix.
I will not put Bryson DeChambeau in my Playbook yet. I know all about his skills and success recently, but he will attempt to overpower Augusta and I just don’t think that can happen. He might have a good ride or two, but I don’t think he can do it for four days. Feel free to list it as much as you want, I will personally have limited stock – and you can call me a purer Augusta – but I want this to work before I believe.
Finally, the weather always plays a role in Augusta as it is known to change on a whim. We see rain in the forecast for Friday and Saturday. Temperatures will be in the 70s and 80s with humidity levels around 50% throughout the weekend.
Wins won: approach
Strokes Won: Putting
Greens in regulation
By 5 Birdies or better
SINGLE CHOICE: Jordan Spieth (If you are afraid of his belonging to your league, I would also recommend Patrick Cantlay)
Choice of DFS masters
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Dustin Johnson: I’ve been going back and forth on this topic all week. He didn’t look great in his last three starts at WGC-Workday, The Players, or WGC-Match Play, and then chose not to play Valero. I think the Valero skip was more for him to put on just before the Masters. I think the defending champion will be overlooked because of these concerns, but I’m going to play him, especially with as much value as there is in this area. I don’t need to give you the stats just to let you know how good he is.
Jordan Spieth: What can I say about Spieth? He finally made me a believer – and I think of a lot of other people too. It was so difficult for me to determine what his level of ownership will be this weekend. My first thought since coming off a win and such a good start to the season (five top 10s in his last seven starts) is that his property will go through the roof. But then many think he went out of his way to win last week, so he might be tired like what happened to Scottie Scheffler last weekend. I’m going to play with him because even though he’s highly possessed, I’m going to make sure that guys in lower categories differentiate themselves. The stats speak for themselves this season, as he ranks 17th in “Won Strokes: Around the Green”, “23rd in Won Strokes: Approaching” and 35th in “Won Strokes: Tee-to-Green”.
Matthew Fitzpatrick: Fitzpatrick has had a fantastic start to the season in 2021. Since the Genesis Open in mid-February, he has finished fifth, 11th, 10th, ninth and 18th. This will be his six trips to Augusta, and he has yet to miss the cut on his previous five trips. He scored a top 10 on his first trip to the Masters in 2016, but has only had one top 25 since. He is 24th in “Won Strokes: Off the Tee”, “25th in Won Strokes: Putting”, 27th in “Won Strokes: Tee-to-Green” and 38th in “Won Strokes: Around the Green”. That makes an average combination at Augusta National.
If Woo Kim: Kim always makes a fantastic tournament game due to her burgeoning nature. It has been more of the same this season with a win on the American Express and a missed cut in three of his next four starts. He then finished ninth at The Players and 23rd at Valero last week. In his last three Masters appearances he’s finished in the top 25. I can’t believe he’s still only 25. He currently ranks 22nd in “Won Strokes: Around the Green”, 38th in “Won Strokes: Tee-to-Green” and 37th in “Won Strokes: Total”. It’s just a GPP game for me but a damn good game.
Does Zalatoris: Zalatoris will be highly possessed this week, I’m telling you now. Everyone has noticed what he has done in such a short time on the PGA Tour, and his price tag is amazing for his skill level. He’s made a grand total of 14 PGA Tour starts since making his US Open debut. It only has one failed cut and two finishes above the 30th. The rest of his finishes include four top 10s, three top 20s and three more top 30s in his short professional career. The dude was sixth on his first major start. The 24-year-old former Wake Forest is fourth in “Won Strokes: Tee-to-Green”, fifth in “Won Strokes: Approaching” and 26th in “Won Strokes: Off-The-Tee”. There’s nothing this kid can’t do on the golf course.
Brian Harman: This boy from Georgia knows all too well the importance and meaning of winning the Masters. Harman didn’t miss a cut in 2021, posting three top 10 rankings. This includes the first five results of his last two outings (third at The Players and fifth at WGC-Match Play). When you look at trends, successful players leading up to Masters have generally fared better. He’s also one of the best putters on the PGA Tour, placing 21st in “Won Strokes: Putting,” and we all know the importance of this skill in Augusta. I love this Goergia Bulldog for grabbing attention all weekend long.