Marlins’ Edward Cabrera can give fantasy owners a boost


Any time a pitcher has an arm injury, it’s hard to trust him the second he comes back. Well, unless that pitcher’s name is Jacob deGrom.

You start to wonder: Will he be the pitcher he was before the injury? Will he pitch enough innings to be a viable fantasy option? Was it necessary to do “Speed ​​2: Cruise Control”? (Obviously it wasn’t necessary, especially without Keanu, but Willem Dafoe as the villain? Come on, that should have been awesome.)

The one thing you should ask yourself: Does your team have enough to win your league? Otherwise, any pitcher who has shown ability in the past is a good candidate to show it when he returns from injury.

Miami’s Edward Cabrera is 3-1 with a 1.78 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 28.8% strikeout rate, 12.8% walk rate and swing hitting 13.9% in his first six starts.

Marlins starting pitcher Edward Cabrera delivers in a game against the Padres.
PA

In three starts since returning Aug. 5 from a bout with tendonitis in his elbow that cost him nearly two months, Cabrera has been on fire, throwing 14 ²/₃ scoreless innings while striking out 21 (12.9 per nine) and limiting opponents to an average .113.

Among starters with a minimum of 10 innings pitched this month, Cabrera entered the weekend ranked third in strikeout rate (37.5%) and was one of two pitchers with an ERA of 0.00 (Chris Bassitt, who took the mound Friday for the Mets, was the other). He also had the third-lowest opponent average and the ninth-best swing strike rate (15%). The only downside: He’s walked 12.5% ​​of the batters he’s faced, the 10th-worst mark by the majors this month.

Despite only pitching 30 ¹/₃ innings this year, Cabrera is one of those talented arms you can only be drawn to. It doesn’t hurt that he’s on a team that has a reputation for developing young pitchers.

Among starters with a minimum of 30 innings pitched, Cabrera’s swing hitting rate ranked 12th, his 10.68 strikeouts per nine was the 17th best in the majors, and his opponents’ average of .152 was the best in the league.

The 24-year-old has an arsenal of nasty tricks, including a 96mph four-ply that he uses 23.4% of the time and that his opponents are hitting .111 against (.171 xBA). And it’s not even his best (or most used) pitch.

Cabrera uses his 92.9 mph change the most (36.1% usage rate), and opponents are hitting .159 against him with an expected batting average of .162, a hitting percentage of .182 and a hitting rate of . 31.1% odor. Opponents also hit .045 against his slider (.158 xBA), a pitch he uses 17.2% of the time with a 47.5% smell rate. He even dominates with his curve ball, throwing it 15.4% of the time averaging .143 opponents and a 37.1 smell rate.

So why is this hard-throwing Marlin only making 36.4% of ESPN rosters?

Other than missing all of July and a good chunk of June, Cabrera hasn’t taken a deep dive in games; he’s gone six innings twice this year and only once in seven starts in 2021. His 12.8% walk rate is the third-worst mark in the majors among pitchers with a 30-inning minimum. His strand rate (90.4%) and BABIP of 0.209 are too high and, like his expected ERA of 2.96, 3.58 FIP and 3.75 xFIP, indicates that there will be regression.

Considering he’s allowed an earned run or less in five of his six starts, it’s fair to be skeptical. It’s good to understand that his numbers won’t stay as perfect as they have been over this small sample of six games.

But the metrics don’t point to a pitcher that will completely implode and be an untrustworthy option. (FYI: He should be especially trustworthy on Monday when he takes on the Athletics, who entered the weekend with a league-worst 0.215 team average.) Assuming he stays in good health, and that seems to be a reasonably important if, Roto Rage thinks Cabrera is a vastly underrated young talent worthy of a spot on the roster.

Pick it up…now!

Here’s a look at some other, mostly underhanded arms that can become a nice piece for your rotation:

Lance McCullers took the mound last Saturday for the Astros for the first time since ALDS Game 4 on Oct. 12, 2021. Although he walked 19% of the batters he faced (some rust expected) , he picked up the win after allowing two hits in six scoreless innings and five strikeouts. Prior to taking the mound on Friday night, McCullers was listed in 70% of ESPN leagues after being the most added pitcher this week.

Seattle’s George Kirby (lined at 37.2%) hasn’t lost since June 27 – going 3-0 with a 2.63 ERA, 44-6 walk rate and OPS of 0.599 opponents. All three of those wins have come this month and he’s allowed three or fewer earned runs in 14 of 17 starts this season. As incredible as the 24-year-old rookie is, there’s one thing to keep in mind: The Mariners could start limiting his innings, as he’s already thrown 90 ²/₃ innings this season, a career-high at all. moment. level (college included).

Mariners starting pitcher George Kirby delivers to a Los Angeles Angels batter in the first inning of a game in Anaheim, Calif. on Wednesday, August 17, 2022.
Mariners starting pitcher George Kirby delivers to an Angels hitter.
PA

Before taking the mound for the Royals on Friday, Brady Singer (lined at 48.1%) was 3-1 with a 2.16 ERA, 58-15 walk rate and .226 average opponents in his previous eight starts. Not only had he pitched at least six innings in all but one of those outings, but he had allowed more than three earned innings just once in that span (and only four times in his first 19 starts).

Two other young Marlins to watch: Lefties Braxton Garrett (12.2% registered) and Jesus Luzardo (29.2%). Garrett was 0-4 with a 4.22 ERA and .274 opponents average in his last four starts, but has a swing strike rate of 12.4 and a puffs called rate of 31 .4%. Luzardo was 1-2 with a 3.18 ERA and 0.191 opponent average in his first three starts since returning from a strained forearm that has kept him in IL since May. In nine starts this year, he’s hitting 11.35 of nine while limiting his opponents to an average of .181. He also has a swing strike rate of 13.8% and a called strike rate of 31.2% plus a smell rate.

Big hits

Julio Urias SP, Dodgers

He hasn’t lost since June 12 — going 10-0 with a 1.99 ERA, 67-11 walk rate and 0.198 average in his last 11 starts.

Vaughn Grissom SS, Braves

The rookie had at least one hit and at least one run in eight of his first nine major league games – 13 for 32 (.406) with two home runs, seven RBIs, 11 runs, two stolen bases and a 1.113 PAHO.

Braves' Vaughn Grissom rounds third base before scoring in the seventh inning of a game against the Mets, Thursday, Aug. 18, 2022, in Atlanta.
Vaughn Grissom of the Braves rounds third base before scoring against the Mets.
PA

Justin Steele SP, Cubs

Hasn’t allowed more than three earned runs in any of his last eight starts – going 2-2 with a 1.67 ERA, 50 strikeouts and a .245 ERA.

Max Muncy 1B/2B/3B, Dodgers

Although he was still hitting .185 for the season, he was hitting .320 with six homers, 13 RBIs, 10 runs and 1.184 OPS in his first 14 games that month.

big puffs

Riley Greene OF, Tigers

The rookie struck 44 times (the most in the majors) in his first 27 second-half games. He’s 4 for 35 (.114) with three RBIs and 16 strikeouts in his previous eight games heading into Friday.

Pablo Lopez SP, Marlins

The last victory came on July 26 and he is 0-3 with a 9.00 ERA, three homers allowed and an average of .378 opponents in his last four starts.

Matt Chapman 3B, Blue Jays

After hitting .325 and 1.095 OPS in July, he hit .148 with 23 strikeouts and .567 OPS in his first 15 games this month.

Matt Chapman reacts after pulling out against the Tigers in the ninth inning of a game at Rogers Center on July 29, 2022 in Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Matt Chapman reacts after punching.
Getty Images

Sean Manaea SP, Padres

Allowed 10 home runs and 35 runs (29 earned) in his last eight starts, going 3-3 with a 6.87 ERA and .321 opponents average in that span.

Check the swings

  • Arizona’s Christian Walker started the weekend averaging .223 for the season but ranked 15th in the majors in average this month (.349). He also had six home runs and 17 RBIs, tied for the most in the majors in August. The 31-year-old had also hit .280 with 23 RBI (sixth in the majors) since the break, and is still 35% available in ESPN leagues.
  • Baltimore’s Felix Bautista is listed in less than 35% of ESPN leagues, but has five saves and two strikes, with a 1.08 ERA, 25-4 walk-at-rate and 0.113 opponent average, in of his last 16 appearances entering Friday. His five saves in that span have come in nine appearances since July 28 (0-1, 1.93 ERA, 0.188 opponents average).
  • Since being traded to the Cardinals, Jordan Montgomery is 3-0 with a .54 ERA (1.80 FIP), 17-3 walk rate and .203 ERA.
  • Just as impressive as Montgomery, Jose Quintana is 1-0 with a 2.65 ERA, 16 strikeouts and a .200-against average in his first three starts for St. Louis. He’s also 2-0 with a 1.52 ERA in his last five starts and is available in 60% or more of ESPN leagues.
  • Although he only hit .248 with 21 strikeouts in his first 15 games with the Red Sox, Tommy Pham was a solid source of points (11). He also had three home runs, 10 RBIs and a .749 OPS during that span.
  • Royals rookie Vinnie Pasquantino is still available in about 75% of ESPN leagues and is 21 for 58 (.362) with five home runs, nine RBIs, eight runs, six walks and a 1.105 OPS in his first 16 games this month -this. He was hitting .309 with seven home runs, 13 RBIs, a 20-13 walk rate and .893 OPS in his previous 33 games heading into the weekend.

Team of the week name

Schwarber shop

New York Post

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