Manchester City vs Manchester United Predictions

Manchester City supporters may have slight concerns due to defensive absences and recent history in favor of Manchester United. However, City are playing at such a high level that I don’t see anything happening apart from a victory for Pep Guardiola’s men.

Data-wise, the Cityzens dominated the last encounter, limiting the Red Devils to just 0.6 expected goals (per fbref.com) or 0.78 xG, as measured by xGPilosophy. So if you take the average of the numbers, you end up with 0.69 xG from this game. And that’s just not going to be enough for United when they face an opponent averaging 2.29 xG per game over 27 EPL appearances.

That said, I’m going to the pit once again with my favorite bet – the single game bet – and pair City on the silver line -275 with the total remaining under 4.5 combined goals at -125 odds via BetMGM as my best pick.

The total has not cleared 2.5 goals in the last seven meetings between these teams. So when you add that with the fact that there have been two goals or less in five of United’s last six EPL games, I like my chances of this game not reaching five goals.

The game: Single game parlay – Manchester City -275 and under 4.5 goals (-125)

New York Post

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