Liverpool will strike first against Chelsea

The English Football League will award the first domestic trophy of the 2021-22 campaign on Sunday when Liverpool take on Chelsea for the Carabao Cup.

The Reds arrived for the final after knocking out Arsenal in the semi-finals, while the Blues claimed their place at Wembley Stadium by overtaking Tottenham. Chelsea, who last won this Cup in 2015, face a Liverpool side who last triumphed in 2012.

I think Liverpool will win, but -150 is too steep. That same number on Liverpool’s Draw No Bet line gives no value, as I’m definitely wary of a draw here after 90 minutes.

There’s one specific prop market that caught my eye: the first team to score. Reds are at -130, which is a much more acceptable price. Although he conceded first at Anfield, my review of both matches suggests that Liverpool should have scored first in both games.

Given Chelsea’s lackluster attacking play recently, I see him struggling to open the scoring. Combine that with manager Thomas Tuchel’s problems at the back, and I don’t know how Chelsea can limit Sadio Mané and Mohamed Salah in this confrontation.

Liverpool have opened the scoring in three of four Carabao Cup matches, as well as six of their last seven Premier League matches. I set a price closer to -140, which makes it a good compromise.

The game: Liverpool will score the first goal (-130).

New York Post

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