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It might take until the end of the year to vaccinate all American adults against Covid, CNN analysis shows


But not all Americans plan to get the vaccine. While states such as New York and North Dakota could vaccinate all consenting adults by June, it could take some states until the end of 2021 – and there are two very different reasons for this discrepancy.

A survey by the US Census Bureau found that at least one in six adults “probably” or “definitely” did not intend to be vaccinated, and in some states, up to one-third of adults do not. ‘don’t consider rolling up their sleeves. . Further surveys have shown vaccine hesitancy rates to be even higher, thus narrowing the line of immunization.

And in some states, vaccine rollout is just plain slow, even though many residents are clamoring for them.

As the race between Covid-19 variants and vaccinations continues, differences in vaccine reluctance and the pace of vaccinations mean the breed looks quite different from state to state.

Some states can fully immunize all consenting adults by June, but for others it may take until the end of the year, according to a CNN analysis of federal data.

New York has one of the lowest vaccine hesitation rates in the country. About 85% of adults in the state plan to get the vaccine or have already done so, according to a recent US Census Bureau survey. The state is also vaccinating at a rate that is one of the fastest in the country, according to data from the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Over the past week, New York City added nearly 146,000 people to the fully immunized group every day. At this rate – nearly 950 fully vaccinated people per 100,000 population every day – and with nearly 4 million adults in the state already fully vaccinated, 85% of adults in New York City could be fully vaccinated in about two months.

North Dakota vaccinates at about half the rate of New York City – about 570 fully vaccinated people per 100,000 population each day – but could reach vaccine capacity around the same time as New York City due to high rates of reluctance to the vaccination. According to the census survey, only about 68% of adults say they have been vaccinated or plan to do so, one of the lowest rates in the country.

It might take until the end of the year to vaccinate all American adults against Covid, CNN analysis shows

Georgia and Alabama are vaccinating their populations at the slowest rate – less than 300 fully vaccinated people per 100,000 people every day. In both states, about 75% of adults have been or plan to be vaccinated, which would bring the vaccination schedule to October for Alabama and November for Georgia.

In Vermont and Massachusetts, about 92% of adults have been or plan to be vaccinated – more than any other state. But Vermont is vaccinating at a faster rate than Massachusetts and could vaccinate all consenting adults in early July, about a month earlier than Massachusetts.

The most recent Census Bureau household pulse survey was conducted in the first two weeks of March.

For CNN’s analysis, adults were considered willing to be vaccinated if they have “received or plan to receive all required doses”, or if they have not yet been vaccinated but are planning to. do it “definitely” or “probably”. CNN calculated the vaccination rate using the most recent seven-day average of fully immunized adults reported by the CDC and demographics from the 2019 Census Bureau U.S. Community Survey.

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