The National Hurricane Center is monitoring an area of interest in the Caribbean that could soon impact Florida. Additionally, the NHC is keeping an eye on an additional disturbance in the Atlantic and the remnants of Gordon. Area of Interest in the Caribbean Sea According to the NHC, a large area of low pressure is expected to form early next week in the northwestern Caribbean Sea. As the system slowly begins to move north or northwest after that, officials say gradual development is possible. The NHC says a tropical depression is expected to form, with models hinting at it by midweek. While most major models agree on the depression’s development, there is some disagreement on where the system will go after that. While models are becoming more consistent with each other, the lack of formation so far makes it difficult to know where the system will go or how intense it might be. When, or if, the system forms, more data will become available and the models will become more robust. For now, these should be loosely interpreted as trends to keep on your radar. The WESH 2 Early Warning Meteorology team is closely monitoring the area of interest and will bring you the latest updates. The chance of this system forming remains “fair,” the NHC says, holding at a 40 percent chance of formation over the next week. Over the next 48 hours, the chance of formation is close to 0 percent. Gordon While Gordon is not expected to affect land, the NHC says it is still monitoring the system for potential development again. Showers and thunderstorms associated with Gordon, which was a tropical storm at one point, remain unorganized. However, officials say an area of low pressure has formed in association with the remnants and further development is possible over the next two days. After a day or two, the NHC says conditions will become less favorable for development. The chance of formation is low, remaining at 30 percent for the next 48 hours and seven days. Models do not show Gordon impacting Florida. Central and Western Subtropical AtlanticAfter marking this area of interest Thursday, the NHC says shower activity associated with the system, which is currently 750 miles southeast of Bermuda, has changed slightly in organization. Environmental conditions appear only marginally favorable, but the NHC says some development is possible as it meanders over open waters. Currently, the area of interest has a 20% chance of forming in the next 48 hours and a 30% chance of forming in the next seven days.>> RELATED: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024>> WATCH: Surviving the Season | WESH 2 Special Hurricane Alert 2024First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and live for the most accurate weather forecasts in Central Florida. Radar Severe Weather Alerts Download the WESH 2 News app for the most up-to-date weather alerts. The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.
The National Hurricane Center is monitoring an area of interest in the Caribbean that has the potential to impact Florida soon.
Additionally, the NHC is keeping an eye on an additional disturbance in the Atlantic and the remnants of Gordon.
Area of interest in the Caribbean Sea
According to the NHC, a large area of low pressure is expected to form early next week in the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Officials expect the system to begin moving slowly north or northwest after that time.
The NHC says a tropical depression is expected to form, with models hinting at formation midweek.
While most major models agree on a weak development, there is some disagreement about where the system will go next. Although the models are becoming more consistent with each other, the lack of training so far makes it difficult to know where the system will evolve or how intense it might be.
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As the system forms, more data will be available and the models will be more robust. For now, they should be interpreted flexibly, as trends to keep in mind.
WESH 2’s First Warning Weather team is closely monitoring the area of interest and will bring you the latest updates.
The chances of this system forming remain “medium,” according to the NHC, with a 40% chance of formation over the next week. Over the next 48 hours, the chance of formation is close to 0%.
Gordon
Although Gordon is not expected to affect land, the NHC says it is still monitoring the system for possible developments.
Showers and thunderstorms associated with Gordon, which was once a tropical storm, remain unorganized. However, officials say an area of low pressure has formed in association with the remnants and further development is possible over the next few days.
After a day or two, the NHC says conditions will become less favorable for development.
The chances of formation are low, remaining at 30% for the next 48 hours and seven days.
Models don’t show Gordon will have an impact on Florida.
Central and Western Subtropical Atlantic
After labeling the area of interest Thursday, the NHC says rain activity associated with the system, which is currently 750 miles southeast of Bermuda, has changed slightly in organization.
Environmental conditions appear only marginally favorable, but the NHC says some development is possible as the route winds over open water.
Currently, the area of interest has a 20% chance of forming within 48 hours and a 30% chance of forming within the next seven days.
>> RELATED: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024
>> WATCH: Surviving the Season | WESH 2 Hurricane Special 2024
First weather warning
Stay with WESH 2 online and live for the most accurate weather forecasts in Central Florida.
Download the WESH 2 News App to get the most recent weather alerts.
The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning’s Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda And Cam Tran.
