Recent internal GOP polls show the Republican battleground to regain a majority in the House of Representatives is expanding into more districts.
The polls, first reported by Politics, showed Republicans would see competitive races in districts they believe would have a chance to topple Oregon, Colorado and California, which Joe Biden won in the last presidential election by 11 to 15 points.
Politics noted that tighter polls suggest some of the dark blue seats could be up for grabs in November, especially after the 2021 elections in New Jersey and Virginia, where Republicans won multiple victories.
The poll for Oregon’s new sixth congressional district, created from the 2020 redistricting process and a district Biden would have won by nearly 14 points, has the Republican leading. Republican Mike Erickson leads Democratic State Rep. Andrea Salinas by 7 points — 47% to 40% and 13% undecided.
In the same district, Biden’s endorsement was underwater by 20 points, and the Republican also led the wildcard congressional poll by seven points. The poll surveyed 400 likely voters from July 26-28 with a margin of error of 4.9%. The poll was funded by Erickson’s campaign and the National Republican Campaign Committee (NRCC).
Oregon’s fourth congressional district, which Democratic Rep. Peter DeFazio currently holds but is retiring at the end of this term, found the Republican candidate a slight loser but within a 5-point margin of error. %.
Democrat Val Hoyle is only ahead of Republican Alek Skarlatos by five points – 46% to 41%, with 13% undecided. A former national guard, Skarlatos is making another bid for the congressional seat that Biden won by 13 points in 2020. However, the poll showed Biden there 16 points underwater. The poll surveyed 400 likely voters from July 25-28 with a 5% margin of error. Skarlatos’ campaign and the NRCC paid for the poll.
The poll for Colorado’s seventh congressional district, which Democratic Rep. Ed Perlmutter currently holds but is stepping down at the end of this term, found the Republican candidate losing just two points.
Republican Erik Aadland trails Democrat Brittany Pettersen by two points in the internal poll — 44% to 42%, with no percentage undecided. Biden won by 15 points in 2020. The poll was conducted in mid-July and paid for by the Congressional Leadership Fund, which is the primary Super PAC for House Republicans.
California’s Thirteenth Congressional District, which is an open seat after the redistricting process caused Democratic Rep. Josh Harder to run in a safer district, found the Democrat still slightly ahead in the poll.
Democrat Adam Gray leads Republican John Duarte by four points – 47% to 43% with no percentage undecided. Biden won there by 15 points in 2020; however, the poll showed Biden is under water by nine points. He was caught among live callers Aug. 3-7 with a 4.9% margin of error. The poll was paid for by Duarte’s campaign and the NRCC.