Inside the forecast: Ohio and Indiana kick off primary election blitz

The May 3 primaries will put voters in Ohio and Indiana in the spotlight. In this video, POLITICO’s Steve Shepard explains why he gave Ohio a “likely Republican” rating and why the state’s Senate primary is his May 3 primaries blockbuster.

The race to replace retired Sen. Rob Portman (R-Ohio) is the most expensive in the nation so far as a crowded field of wealthy candidates and those with billionaire benefactors up the tab. The contest also set up a major test of former President Donald Trump’s influence in the GOP: his belated endorsement of author JD Vance seeks to elevate a candidate who had struggled until the final weeks of the campaign. .

These May 3 primaries kick off the eight-week sprint in which the majority of states will hold their midterm nominating contests. So be sure to tune in to the Inside the Forecast video series, in which Shepard helps demystify the mid-terms – taking you inside the races to explore the macro- and micro-trends driving the campaign. The road to November will be full of twists and turns, but POLITICO’s election forecast will be there to chart the way — and tell you why.


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