Independent voters swing 18 points to GOP on generic ballot

Independent voters are snapping up for Republican candidates less than two weeks before the Nov. 8 midterm elections.

According to a CBS/YouGov poll from Oct. 12-14, independent voters preferred generic Democratic congressional candidates to Republican candidates by 40% to 38%. However, in a second poll from Oct. 26-28, independents said they preferred generic Republican congressional candidates to Democratic candidates by 49% to 33%.

That means Republicans saw an 18-point swing in their favor among independent voters over a two-week period.

The CBS/YouGov online poll surveyed 1,000 Americans and has a margin of error of +/- 3.5%.

The prospect of Republican victories in both the House and Senate is rising as likely voters say they are more concerned about issues like the economy and inflation, which they tend to trust more to Republican candidates than to Democratic candidates.

Additionally, while Democrats have increased their campaign messaging to focus on abortion, only 5% of voters say it’s the most important issue facing the nation today, according to a report published at mid-October. New York Times/Siena survey. By comparison, Republicans have focused their messaging on the country’s struggling economy and high inflation, which a plurality of voters say is the most important issue for them.

In another recent survey, a Rasmussen poll found Republicans enjoyed a seven-point advantage over Democrats on the generic Congressional ballot (49% to 42%) among all voters. The survey also found that Republicans enjoyed an 18-point advantage over Democrats among likely independent voters.

You can follow Ethan Letkeman on Twitter at @EthanLetkeman.


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