GOP nearly doubles lead on generic ballot

A Republican candidate’s lead has nearly doubled since last week on the generic Congressional ballot, according to Rasmussen Reports’ weekly poll released Friday.

Friday’s poll showed the generic Republican nominee up seven points, with 48% of likely U.S. voters to 41% for the generic Democratic nominee, a three-point improvement for the GOP since last week.

The poll showed that 25 days before the election, only 4% said they would vote for another candidate, while seven others said they were still unsure.

Still, a seven-point lead on the wildcard ballot with less than four weeks to go is a good sign for Republicans, who are seeking to win five seats, reclaim a majority and unseat Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) of his speech. In fact, Republicans have led the wildcard poll all year.

Rasmussen noted that in October 2018 — before Democrats took the House for the first time in eight years — the two major parties were tied on the wildcard ballot at 45%. And heading into the November 2018 midterm elections, the margins between Democrats and Republicans remained extremely close, with Republicans holding just a one-point advantage nationally, 46% to 45%.

However, in this poll, the Republican party showed a massive 16-point lead with independents over Democrats. Among voters unaffiliated with either major party, 46% said they would vote for the GOP nominee, while only 30% said they would vote for the Democratic nominee.

Additionally, 27% of black voters and 45% of other minority groups said they would vote for the Republican nominee if the election were held today. A Democratic candidate would garner the support of 58% of black voters and 42% of other minority groups.

In addition, there is a difference in electoral intensity between parties, with 85% of Republican voters saying they would vote for their own party’s congressional candidate and only 82% of Democrats saying the same.

The Rasmussen Reports survey was conducted October 9-13 and interviewed 2,500 likely US voters. The survey had a 2% margin of error and a 95% confidence level.

Jacob Bliss is a reporter for Breitbart News. Write to him at or follow him on Twitter @JacobMBliss.


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