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GOP leads Democrats with key groups on wildcard ballot

Republicans lead Democrats with key demographics in generic Congressional poll conducted by NPR, PBS NewsTimeand Marist.

The recent poll showed Republicans have a three-point lead on a generic ballot. Of the 1,162 registered voters who took the survey, 47% said they would choose the unnamed Republican when asked which candidate they would support if the election were held “today.”

By comparison, only 44% said they would vote for the unnamed Democrat. Three percent said other and seven percent said they didn’t know who to vote for. The poll marks the first time since August 2014 that Republicans have led in congressional polls. That same year, Republicans took control of the House and Senate.

The poll found Republicans leading with key demographics, such as independents, Latinos and parents with children under 18.

Among independent respondents, 45% said they would vote Republican and 38% said they would vote Democrat. Six percent chose “other” and ten percent said they didn’t know who to vote for.

Along with Latino respondents, more than half (52%) said they would vote Republican and 39% said they would vote Democrat. Only one percent chose “other” and eight percent didn’t know who to vote for.

A majority of parents who have children under 18 (60%) chose Republican in the poll, while 32% said they would vote for Democrat. Two percent chose “other” and five percent didn’t know who to vote for.

This year, with both the House and Senate on the line, Republicans are up against the slimmest Democrat majorities in modern history. In the lower house, the GOP only needs to win five seats outright to win back a majority, and they have the advantage in some cases with 32 House Democrats announcing they will not seek re-election.

The majority is also at stake in the upper house since the Senate is split 50/50, meaning the Democrats can’t lose any seats and the Republicans only need one.

The Marist Poll was sponsored by NPR and PBS NewsTime and was conducted from April 19 to 26 with a margin of error of 3.7%.

Jacob Bliss is a reporter for Breitbart News. Write to him at or follow him on Twitter @JacobMBliss.


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