GOP extends lead on generic ballot to 7 points

Republicans extended their lead in the generic Congressional ballot to seven points, with an 18-point advantage among independents, with 11 days to go before the election, according to Rasmussen Reports’ weekly poll.

This week’s weekly poll show that the Republican nominee leads by seven points, up from last week’s four-point lead, with 49% of likely U.S. voters versus 42% for the generic Democratic nominee.

Only four percent said they would vote for another candidate, while five said they were still unsure.

With just 11 days until the election, the seven-point lead is a good sign for Republicans looking to win at least five seats and regain a majority in the House, ending Rep. Nancy Pelosi’s presidency.

Rasmussen noted that in October 2018 — before Democrats took the House for the first time in eight years — Democrats had a three-point lead over Republicans, 47% to 44%. And heading into the November 2018 midterm elections, the margins between Democrats and Republicans remained extremely close, with Republicans holding a one-point advantage nationally, from 46% to 45%.

However, what is interesting about this midterm election cycle is that Republicans, in their quest to regain power in the House, have also been leading the generic congressional ballot all year.

Additionally, this poll found that the Republican Party also showed a massive 18-point lead with independents over Democrats. Among voters unaffiliated with either major party, 49% said they would vote for the Republican candidate, while only 31% said they would vote for the Democratic candidate.

Additionally, 25% of black voters and 44% of other minority groups said they would vote for the Republican nominee if the election were held today. A Democratic candidate would garner the support of 61% of black voters and 43% of other minority groups.

In addition, there is a difference in electoral intensity between parties, with 85% of Republican voters saying they would vote for their own party’s congressional candidate and 82% of Democrats saying the same.

The Rasmussen Reports survey was conducted October 23-27 and interviewed 2,500 likely US voters. The survey had a 2% margin of error and a 95% confidence level.

Jacob Bliss is a reporter for Breitbart News. Write to him at or follow him on Twitter @JacobMBliss.


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