The PGA Tour heads to Maryland this week for the 2022 Wells Fargo Championship. While this event features a more robust field than we saw at last week’s Mexico Open, it’s a little light on the star power, with Rory McIlroy currently the +850 favorite.
There aren’t many world beaters after McIlroy, as the second pick is Corey Conners at +1600 followed by Matthew Fitzpatrick, Tyrrell Hatton, Marc Leishman and Russell Henley all at +2000.
In other words, this is a very beatable field and where a longshot could easily come down from the clouds to win the title.
This notion is reinforced by the fact that we haven’t seen a PGA Tour event on this course since 2018 and the last two winning scores differed quite a bit. In 2017, Kyle Stanley won here by posting a par of 7 under after a playoff with Charles Howell III. The following year, Francesco Molinari won the title with a stunning Under-21 performance.
With so many unknowns and a relatively weak field, it behooves bettors to take a few hits on the board.
Here are three longshots that have value at Wells Fargo 2022:
Francesco Molinari (+10000): It’s been a slow few years for Francesco Molinari since he finished T5 at the Masters in 2019, but he has four top 10s in 25 events dating back to the start of 2021. Those top 10s come with a handful of missed cuts, but at least we know Molinari has what it takes to win – something to consider when the prizes get this high. Molinari has been amazing on this course en route to a win in 2018, so why not shoot him in triple figures?
Branden Grace (+13000): Nine-time European Tour winner and two-time PGA Tour winner Branden Grace should be a good choice for the TPC Potomac, which is a shorter course that forces players to keep the ball out of trouble. Grace is a type of player you want to target in grind-it-out style tournaments where the winning score might be in the single digits. Given what we’ve seen here in 2017, it’s worth adding Grace to your card in case it’s a rock fight.
Matt Wallace (+40000): For the most part, Matt Wallace has been an absolute disaster in 2022 – which is why his price is like this – but he showed signs of life last week at the Mexican Open, where he briefly held the lead before completely unraveling and finishing 2-over for the weekend. Like Grace, Wallace should be able to punch above his weight class if this tournament proves to be a tough test where you have to grind pars.
New York Post