France’s hard left set to make big gains in first round of parliamentary vote – POLITICO

PARIS — French President Emmanuel Macron’s coalition is neck and neck with a new left-wing group in the first round of the country’s legislative elections held on Sunday, according to early projections.

According to polling agency Ipsos, the left-wing alliance NUPES supported by instigator Jean-Luc Mélenchon and the Ensemble de Macron! coalition each won 25.2% of the vote to elect representatives in the National Assembly, the lower house of parliament.

But polls leading up to the vote suggested that a strong left-wing presence in the first round would not necessarily translate into seats, as Macron and his allies stand to benefit in the second vote next Sunday under the two-way system. two rounds, which generally favors more centrist candidates.

A candidate can win in the first round if he receives at least half of the votes cast, as well as the votes of at least a quarter of the registered voters in his constituency. Otherwise, the candidate who obtains the most votes in the second round becomes a deputy.

According to Ipsos, Macron’s coalition would obtain between 255 and 295 seats at the end of the second round, against only 150 to 190 for NUPES. It would still mark a significant rebalancing of powers in the National Assembly, as Macron’s allies currently have 345 seats in the outgoing chamber. A majority would be 289 seats; any number lower than that of the ruling coalition would mean that Macron would struggle to push through legislation and major reforms such as the pension system.

Although far-right leader Marine Le Pen won 39% of the vote in the second round of the presidential election in April, her party won only 18.9% of the vote in the legislative elections, according to projections.

Voter turnout also appears to have reached an all-time high for the legislative elections with only 39% turnout as of 5 p.m. local time. according to figures from the Ministry of the Interior. Low turnout means fewer candidates will qualify for the second round, as candidates must receive votes from at least 12.5% ​​of registered voters to continue.

Final first-round results are expected later on Sunday.


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