North Carolina is set to be one of the most expensive races in the country next year and is a key state for Republicans who aim to win back a Senate majority from the Democrats, who control the House 50-50 with the Deputy President Kamala Harris. break ties.
Former Rep. Mark Walker is the only major Republican candidate in the race so far and has solidified his support since his campaign kicked off in December. Rep Ted Budd is also seriously considering an offer. Lara Trump, daughter-in-law and campaign advisor to former President Donald Trump, said she plans to run in her native North Carolina, but has yet to take public steps to launch a countryside.
A recent poll conducted for McCrory shows he would enter the race with a big lead over Walker and Budd, as well as extremely high name identification among likely Republican primary voters, according to a copy of the vote memo obtained by POLITICO. His high-name identity and an early lead in a hypothetical primary clash are not surprising given his past statewide campaigns and tenure as state governor, while none of the potential opponents never showed up statewide.
The survey was conducted by Glen Bolger of Public Opinion Strategies, and the note was addressed to McCrory and Paul Shumaker, a state Republican veteran who worked with Burr and Senator Thom Tillis (RN.C.). Shumaker declined to comment on Monday morning.
The memo says McCrory was viewed favorably by 58% of likely primary voters and unfavorably by 13%. Walker was viewed favorably by 20 percent of GOP voters and unfavorably by 4 percent; Budd was viewed favorably by 16 percent and negatively by 5 percent.
McCrory led with almost half the votes in a hypothetical three-way game: 48%, Walker 13% and Budd 9%. He also led the two in one-on-one confrontations. The ballot memo did not include Lara Trump.
The poll polled 500 probable GOP primary voters by interactive voice response from April 6 to 8, with a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points.
Democrats are actively contesting the seat, having failed to topple Tillis last November. So far, Senator Jeff Jackson and former Senator Erica Smith are in the running. Cheri Beasley, the former chief justice of the state’s Supreme Court, is expected to run and may launch a campaign soon, while former NASA astronaut Joan Higginbotham, who never ran for office, is also considering a candidacy.