Last week was another largely tame in the NFL survivor pools, marking the fourth time in five weeks that less than five percent of pool entries have been knocked out by an upheaval. This lack of carnage won’t last last season, as we saw in Week 4, so it’s important to make smart and strategic choices from here on out. Luckily, the experts at TeamRankings are here to break down the five most popular week 6 survivor picks.
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Week 6 NFL Survivor Pool Tips: Tips, Strategy For Choices
To note: The “Pick Popularity” numbers below refer to the estimated percentage of entries into the nationwide survivor pool who have already chosen the team in question. Those numbers, along with a team’s odds of winning, can change over the course of the week, so be sure to check out our NFL Survivors’ Choice product for all the latest data as well as personalized choice advice for your pool.
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Los Angeles Rams (vs. New York Giants)
Choose popularity: 36% (most popular choice)
Point spread: -10.5
The Rams are the biggest favorite of the week and are currently drawing the most picks. They will face a Giants team who could do without quarterback Daniel Jones, who is in concussion protocol, as well as RB Saquon Barkley, who suffered an ankle injury last week. However, Aries also have a fairly high future value. We project them as the third most valuable team in terms of survivors behind Buffalo and Tampa Bay.
Los Angeles faces Detroit at home and Houston on the road in Weeks 7 and 8, respectively. Since over 20% of the public used the Rams in week 1, more than half of a typical pool will have used them after this week, so they will have lower popularity in the future.
MORE TEAM RANKINGS: Week 6 Tips Pick ’em pool (link coming soon)
Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans
Choose popularity: 31%
Point spread: -9.5
The Colts are the other popular pick this week as they get Houston at home. Although the Colts stumbled on a 1-4 start, their schedule opens from this week. They also get the Jets and Jaguars home in weeks 9 and 10, respectively. These clashes give the Colts decent future value, especially if their popularity continues to soar this week.
The Colts’ expected value this week likely depends on where the chosen popularity numbers end. The more inputs that select them, the lower their EV will be.
WEEK 6 FANTASY PPR RANKS:
quarterback | Back | Wide receiver | Tight end | D / ST | Kicker
Kansas City Chiefs to Washington Football Team
Choose popularity: 14%
Point spread: -7.0
The Chiefs are the Rams and Colts’ first alternative choice this week. The Chiefs have allowed the most points in the NFL and turned the ball around a lot, but Washington is 31st in points allowed so the Kansas City offense should have a better time on Sunday than it did this week. last against Buffalo.
The Chiefs have solid future value, even though it declined with their difficult 2-3 start. However, with victory odds slightly lower than the Colts and Rams and with those teams shooting a higher pick rate, Kansas City has a good expected value this week.
TeamRankings football choices:
Choice of survivor pool | Pick ’em Pool Picks | NFL betting choices
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Seattle Seahawks
Choose popularity: 3%
Point spread: -4.5
Right now, no other team is shooting even five percent of the public picks in the survivor pools. The Steelers are one of the alternate options, as they face a Seattle team that will have a different starting quarterback (Geno Smith) than Russell Wilson (finger) for the first time since the 2011 season. Wilson’s injury made the Steelers a survival option as they are now favored by 4.5 points.
The Steelers have pretty low future value, but they’re riskier than the top few options. Deciding whether to use them depends on the value of being contrary to Colts / Rams and saving future value in a specific pool.
Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears
Choose popularity: 3%
Point spread: -4.5
Green Bay is another alternative option, like Pittsburgh, to avoid the more popular choices. The Packers have a risk profile similar to that of the Steelers. They have more future value, however, including a home game against Washington next week.
Get our pick of week 6 survivors for your pool!
Each possible NFL Week 6 Survivor pick has an expected value in the current week as well as a future value associated with it. These values can vary greatly depending on the characteristics of your pool, such as its size and rules. It takes a lot of data and math to figure out which pick (or combination of picks, if you’re playing multiple entries) gives you the greatest edge in winning your survivor pool. That’s why we’ve spent years creating our NFL Survivor Picks product.
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