Maloney’s poll shows him beating Biaggi by 34 points, 52% to 18% – almost exactly what another internal survey by his team found in late May and early June. Biaggi’s figures still show her behind, but by 13 points, 34% against 21%. Despite the deficit, his campaign says the numbers point to a tightening race in his favor.
Biaggi hopes to become the next progressive to knock out an incumbent Democrat in Congress. Maloney, chairman of the House Democrats’ campaign arm, upset the Liberals when he chose, after a redistricting, to run in the 17th District. Most voters were represented there by the representative. Mondary Jones – but it is also where Maloney’s home is located, as well as part of his current headquarters. The left-leaning Working Families Party changed its endorsement from Maloney to Biaggi after the move. Biaggi also received a nod from the representative. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.
But Biaggi has so far been unable to turn that support into a lead. Maloney has far more money than Biaggi and has touted the support of more than 75 current and former Democratic officials, unions, local committees and other groups.
A wildcard: The low turnout in the Aug. 23 primary in New York could have an unpredictable impact and could benefit Biaggi, as he has aided other insurgents in previous Democratic primaries. Biaggi defeated another powerful and well-funded incumbent — then-Senator Jeff Klein, the leader of a breakout group of Democrats who sided with Republicans in the state legislature — in a a 2018 Democratic primary.
Both campaigns estimate that a large number of Democrats in the district are still undecided voters: 30% according to Maloney’s pollster, 45% according to Biaggi’s.
The Global Strategy Group conducted its survey on behalf of Maloney’s campaign from July 11-14 among 233 likely voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 6.4%. The Justice Research Group and ROS Research poll, conducted for Biaggi and the Working Families Party, polled about 400 likely voters from July 1-11, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9%.
In a statement, Biaggi said, “New Yorkers are tired of corporate politicians putting their campaign donors ahead of working people. While Sean Patrick Maloney takes millions from Wall Street, Big Oil and Pharmaceuticals, then votes to dilute Obamacare, expand fossil fuels and protect Big Banks, I’m not taking a dime from corporate PACs – because I am in this offer to working families.
Mia Ehrenberg, a spokeswoman for Maloney, fired back that “Sen. Biaggi’s campaign keeps repeating the same baseless lies about Rep. Maloney because her real-life record is so strong she hasn’t been able to win over voters by focusing on the issues. The facts are these: Rep. Maloney has voted more than a dozen times to protect and improve the Affordable Care Act and he is endorsed by End Citizens United because he is a champion at getting money out of politics and has always defended special interests.