Donald Trump’s 2024 candidacy won’t be a walk in the park – RT World News

The former Republican president faces a tough primary election and potentially not the Democrat he’s set to oppose

Former U.S. President Donald Trump announced his third consecutive presidential bid Tuesday night at his Mar-a-Lago estate in Palm Beach, Florida. His announcement to run in 2024 was lengthy, crammed with details about his first term and raised questions about whether or not the former insurgency fomenter can cross the finish line in two years.

To begin with, Trump made it clear that this was not about his campaign but about a mass movement built by average people. He talked a lot about the economy and the skyrocketing inflation that is eating away at the purchasing power of average Americans. Along with that, he noted how many of the economic problems seen today weren’t a thing when he was in the White House – and he rallied his base by drawing attention to the strong frontiers under his leadership, ability supposed to maintain international peace, and its policy against terrorism.

But, in typical Trump fashion, there were plenty of baseless claims. For example, he said President Joe Biden left behind $85 billion worth of military equipment when he retreated from Afghanistan. There was no basis for that figure, actually. He also falsely took credit for America’s energy independence, for being the only president to price Chinese products, and he also completely misrepresented information on climate change. Still, the speech was strong enough to rally his sub-sector of the Republican base.

At the same time, there is evidence that its share of this electoral bloc could decline. Amid what will likely be another crowded field of Republican candidates, Trump could be on his back after his endorsed midterm candidates lost key gubernatorial elections, as well as Senate and House races. . Overall, Republicans managed to walk away with the House of Representatives even if they had to do much better. That the GOP underperformed in the 2022 election might be an understatement.

Trump is looking to take on some tough opponents, including perhaps his former Vice President Mike Pence, former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and, most importantly, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. The first two have positioned themselves over the decades to make a presidential bid with or without Trump in the picture. But DeSantis is something of a rising star who combines the benefits of MAGA populism without the baggage and drama of The Donald.

Polls currently indicate that the former president is still the most favored candidate among Republican voters. But DeSantis narrowed his lead and gained seven percentage points in a recent Morning Consult/Politico survey after the midterm elections. The Florida leader now has 33% support among Republican voters and won his own re-election by nearly 20 points, with two more years to go before the presidential election. On top of that, while there wasn’t a national “red wave,” there certainly was one in Florida, where DeSantis was leading the ticket.

Again, a major focal point of DeSantis is that he is just as populist, anti-revival, and right-wing as Donald Trump. The only difference is that he is not a social media trigger. Many Republicans love their former president but just wish he didn’t act so erratically in public – perhaps evident by the fact that he even criticized the governor of Florida after the week’s election last. Almost everyone in Trump’s neighborhood has suffered collateral damage at some point.

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If we assume Trump wins the GOP nomination in 2024, we have to consider his chances of beating the Democrats for the White House. Much of Trump’s speech focused on the policies of the Biden administration, even though he gave only marginal words to the “leftmost.It may not be a good strategy, however, given that Biden, who turns 80 this month, is not guaranteed to run again. He said he intended to, but the final decision would be made early next year after consultation with his family.

It’s actually hard to say who might show up at this point. The most likely Democratic nominee besides Biden would have been independent Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, except he’s 81. That leaves Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, who lacks any charisma, and Vice President Kamala Harris. For her part, the vice president matches Biden’s 53% disapproval rating.

If Harris can reasonably distance herself from Biden, while still sticking to some progressive principles, then she might be able to strengthen in the polls over the next two years. But it really depends on the economic situation until 2024, given that it has been the main animation problem for voters lately. And for Trump to counteract that, he needs to articulate a clear economic plan that goes beyond spending and tax cuts. He actually needs to have a plan, which Republicans lack at this point.

The statements, views and opinions expressed in this column are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of RT.


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