Former President Donald Trump leads President Joe Biden in a hypothetical matchup for the 2024 presidential election, according to a CBS News/YouGov poll and a Harvard-Harris poll.
The CBS News/YouGov poll released Sunday shows that 50% of 4,002 U.S. adults surveyed would vote for Trump in a rematch of the 2020 presidential election, while 49% would support Biden. Only one percent of voters are undecided in such a scenario.
🇺🇲 2024 Presidential Election: CBS News
(right) Trump at 50%
(D) Biden 49%
(right) Trump 57%
(D) Biden 42%
YouGov (B+) | 2,385 BT | 09/12-15https://t.co/cCxvWvc9QI pic.twitter.com/H78gjkJWkS
– Interactive Polls (@IAPolls2022) September 17, 2023
Trump enjoys a double-digit advantage among independent voters, with 57 percent to Biden’s 42 percent. Biden takes a slim six-point lead among Hispanic voters.
Among the nearly 2,700 registered voters in the sample, only 34% think Biden would complete a second term if re-elected, compared to a majority of 44% who think he will not complete a second term. Conversely, most voters predicted that Trump would complete a second term.
Registered voters were also asked whether they thought Trump and Biden were physically and mentally healthy enough to serve as president, finding that only 28% of voters think Biden is physically well enough, while most say the 45th president is. Just 16 percent of voters say only Biden is physically healthy enough to serve, while 44 percent say Trump is the only one who is healthy enough. Another 12 percent consider them both to be in good physical shape, compared to 28 percent who say neither are.
WATCH – Exclusive – Trump on Biden’s health: “His mental is worse than his physical”:
Matthew Perdie / Breitbart News, Jack Knudsen / Breitbart News
Only 18% of independents view Biden as reasonably fit, while 57% say Trump is “physically healthy enough.”
Similarly, 26% say “only” Biden “has the mental and cognitive health necessary to serve as president,” while 44% say only Trump has it. Seven percent say they both meet the cognitive criteria and just under a quarter say neither meets the criteria.
The margin of error among the 4,002 American adults participating in this poll, conducted September 12-15, is plus or minus 2.1 percent.
A Harvard-Harris poll released Friday shows the 45th president with an even larger lead over Biden among 2,103 registered voters. This poll shows that 44% support Trump, 40% support Biden and 15% are still undecided. Trump leads among independent and third-party voters with 40 to 35 percent.
📊 NEW NATIONAL SURVEY
(right) Trump 44% (+4)
(D) Biden 40%
(right) Trump 46% (+6)
Trump 57% (+47)
Harris/Harvard (B) | 09/13-14 | VRhttps://t.co/ijtm7Fnk9p pic.twitter.com/DWu9Tr28I8
– Interactive Polls (@IAPolls2022) September 15, 2023
The survey was conducted from September 12 to 14 and no margin of error was specified.