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Democrats now outnumber Republicans by 9 percentage points, thanks to independents

“I think what we need to do as a party is fight the damage done to the Democratic brand,” Democratic National Committee chairman Jamie Harrison said The daily beastthe last New abnormal Podcast. Gallup reported on Wednesday that, at least relatively speaking, the Democratic brand is doing quite well.

In the first quarter of 2021, 49% of American adults identified themselves as Democrats or Democrats-oriented independents, compared to 40% for Republicans and GOP leaders, Gallup said. “The Democratic advantage of 9 percentage points is the largest Gallup has measured since the fourth quarter of 2012. In recent years, Democratic advantages have generally been between 4 and 6 percentage points.”

When Gallup stripped the independents, 30% of American adults identified as Democrats, 25% as Republicans, and 11% were independents with no partisan leanings. The increase in the number of independents, to 44 percent from 38 percent in the previous quarter, “correlates with the decline in Republican Party identification, just as in 2013, when the GOP saw a decline in popularity. during the government’s shutdown on the Affordable Care Act, “Gallup says. Democratic membership has hovered around 30% for most of the past eight years.

Party identification, questioned in every Gallup survey, is “something we think is important to follow to give some idea of ​​the relevant strength of both parties at any given time and how party preferences respond to events, ”says Gallup, editor. Jeff Jones said USA today.

Republicans recovered from their 2013 deficit “to make gains in the 2014 midterm election and hope to replicate that feat in 2022,” Gallup notes. “As in 2014, much of their hopes may rest on the incumbent Democratic president’s level of popularity.” Gallup currently has President Biden’s approval rating of 54%.

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