Gov. Gavin Newsom’s team is extremely confident that they have enough “no recall” votes to keep Newsom in state house.
“There is no scenario where we lose tomorrow,” said Sean Clegg, senior advisor at Newsom. “We see the blue giant waking up. I see no evidence of a red giant waking up in California.”
A recently released public poll shows Californians want to keep Newsom in power with double-digit margins. Registered Democrats outnumber Republicans in the state by a 2-1 ratio.
And several Republican campaigns also told CBS News that their private poll showed “Yes to Recall” was losing by margins in the high or double digits.
Under the dismissal rules, a majority of voters must vote “Yes” to oust Newsom. If this happens, the top voter among the 46 challengers becomes governor, regardless of the low share of the vote.
The Newsom team says its analysis of 8.3 million early votes put the “No Recall” at an insurmountable lead.
“I don’t see a scenario where there was no talk of a victory for the governor and a complete rejection of this appalling partisan takeover,” Clegg said.
Organizers of the Republican recall pointed out that the governor’s strict pandemic lockdowns and warrants for vaccines and masks were a reason for ousting him from office. But Newsom advisers argue that the recent spike in the number of cases has made it clear to voters that these protocols are necessary.
“We saw the delta surge as a real turning point in this campaign. I think it was a turning point for us,” said Clegg.
Newsom advisers said the passage ofalso animated the Democratic base in California, as did the invocation of former President Trump’s name – he lost the state by a wide margin in 2020, nearly 30 points.
President Biden joined Newsom in Long Beach on Monday for his last campaign event before Election Day.