Border issues, student debt among issues to determine midterm elections, strategists say


Amna Nawaz:

So Glen obviously the White House is saying there’s time before the midterms we’re going to show people that we’re getting the job done, especially on the economy, which we know is a problem major for Democrats and Republicans.

If people are seeing the work being done, if things are starting to improve in terms of the cost of living, etc., and people are feeling better about the economy, is that a bigger argument hard for Republicans?

Glen Bolger, Republican strategist and pollster: Look, that’s an unlikely scenario, very unlikely.

The last time you were the party in the White House – which controlled the Western White House, you weren’t spanked and the midterm elections were in 2002, and largely because of what happened on September 11, 2001.

It is too late for the White House and the Democratic Party to turn the tide for this election. Every four years, mid-term, you hear the same thing: Oh, we have time. We can turn around.

But it never turns around in time. It certainly is – look, what happens in 2022 is not a predictor for 2024. There are a lot of elections – Barack Obama’s re-election in 2012, after being spanked in 2010, is proof of that. solid enough, Bill Clinton in 1996, after being spanked in 1994.

So look, it’s the independents who decide the elections, especially the wave of elections. And when there was a flurry of elections, in 2018, voting against Republicans and Donald Trump, independents went into double digits for the Democratic Party. In 2014 and 2010, they went into double digits for the Republican Party.

Right now — and I understand what my counterpart is saying about disgruntled progressives in the Democratic base, but the real problem for Democrats is that they’ve lost the trust of independent voters. And you’re not going to get it back by November.


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