Blake Masters narrowly leads in the home stretch

Republican Blake Masters has a narrow lead over Democrat Mark Kelly in the U.S. Senate race from Arizona on the eve of the midterm elections.

Surveying 1,359 likely voters in Arizona between Nov. 2 and Nov. 6 with a margin of error of ±3 points, the Democratic-leaning Data for Progress poll showed Masters leading Kelly 50% to 49%, a virtual tie that corresponds to a recent poll.

Masters had a tougher battle to win the U.S. Senate seat than Kari Lake had in her gubernatorial bid, largely due to Mark Kelly enjoying the incumbent advantage while the Democratic opponent of Kari Lake (Katie Hobbs) refused to even show up for a single debate. Either way, a recent poll gave Masters a slight edge over Kelly as he has slowly climbed to contender status since the summer.

In his closing argument, Masters played directly on his conservative base when he promised that Republican Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell “won’t own him” due to his lack of support. As Breitbart News reported:

In September, a McConnell-aligned Super PAC, the Senate Leadership Fund (SLF), reportedly pulled $9.6 million in advertising earmarked for the U.S. Senate race from the Grand Canyon state, according to Axios. The SLF was “confident” that other conservative groups would put money behind Masters.

Ultimately, PACs, including the Heritage Action Fund, MAGA, Inc., and Saving Arizona, poured millions into the race to strengthen the Masters.

“McConnell doesn’t like me. And clearly, he had a chance to help. He did not do it. He doesn’t want me in there, but he’s about to be stuck with me,” Masters told the the wall street journal.


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